Bayern Munich's commanding 2-1 first-leg victory at the Bernabéu has solidified trader consensus favoring them at 61.5% to win the Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena, leveraging home advantage and a narrow aggregate lead. Harry Kane, overcoming recent ankle concerns, scored the decisive goal, underscoring Bayern's clinical finishing amid Real Madrid's defensive frailties without Thibaut Courtois (thigh injury) and Rodrygo (cruciate ligament tear). Real's 22% implied probability reflects their away challenge and makeshift backline with Andriy Lunin in goal, while the 19.5% draw pricing accounts for Madrid's resilience in knockouts despite Ferland Mendy's fitness doubts and Bayern's high-pressing form driving recent momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich's commanding 2-1 first-leg victory at the Bernabéu has solidified trader consensus favoring them at 61.5% to win the Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena, leveraging home advantage and a narrow aggregate lead. Harry Kane, overcoming recent ankle concerns, scored the decisive goal, underscoring Bayern's clinical finishing amid Real Madrid's defensive frailties without Thibaut Courtois (thigh injury) and Rodrygo (cruciate ligament tear). Real's 22% implied probability reflects their away challenge and makeshift backline with Andriy Lunin in goal, while the 19.5% draw pricing accounts for Madrid's resilience in knockouts despite Ferland Mendy's fitness doubts and Bayern's high-pressing form driving recent momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen