Charles Oliveira’s stalled negotiations after withdrawing from a September rematch with Arman Tsarukyan, combined with his public rejection of title eliminators, have shaped trader consensus. Paddy Pimblett leads at 37.2% following his first-round submission of Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329 and repeated callouts of “Do Bronx,” positioning the Englishman as a marketable, high-activity option before year-end. Saint Denis sits at 28.1% due to his aggressive style and prior lightweight momentum despite the recent loss. Lower probabilities for Tsarukyan, Ilia Topuria, and Justin Gaethje reflect Oliveira’s stated preference for a lightweight title shot against the champion rather than ranked contenders, while his coach’s comments on potential Diego Lopes or Tsarukyan bouts add limited weight amid the fighter’s focus on waiting for championship opportunities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBenoît Saint Denis 33.2%
Paddy Pimblett 27.3%
Ilia Topuria 6.6%
Justin Gaethje 5.2%
$189,126 Vol.
$189,126 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
33%
Paddy Pimblett
27%
Ilia Topuria
7%
Justin Gaethje
5%
Arman Tsarukyan
8%
Maurício Ruffy
1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Islam Makhachev
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Conor McGregor
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis 33.2%
Paddy Pimblett 27.3%
Ilia Topuria 6.6%
Justin Gaethje 5.2%
$189,126 Vol.
$189,126 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
33%
Paddy Pimblett
27%
Ilia Topuria
7%
Justin Gaethje
5%
Arman Tsarukyan
8%
Maurício Ruffy
1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Islam Makhachev
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Conor McGregor
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Charles Oliveira’s stalled negotiations after withdrawing from a September rematch with Arman Tsarukyan, combined with his public rejection of title eliminators, have shaped trader consensus. Paddy Pimblett leads at 37.2% following his first-round submission of Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329 and repeated callouts of “Do Bronx,” positioning the Englishman as a marketable, high-activity option before year-end. Saint Denis sits at 28.1% due to his aggressive style and prior lightweight momentum despite the recent loss. Lower probabilities for Tsarukyan, Ilia Topuria, and Justin Gaethje reflect Oliveira’s stated preference for a lightweight title shot against the champion rather than ranked contenders, while his coach’s comments on potential Diego Lopes or Tsarukyan bouts add limited weight amid the fighter’s focus on waiting for championship opportunities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen