Ongoing stalemate in Russia-Ukraine negotiations, with core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires unresolved despite U.S.-led diplomatic efforts through 2025 and early 2026, underpins the strong trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Reports of Ukrainian plans for a spring 2026 vote alongside elections, prompted by external pressure, faced domestic legal challenges and did not advance amid repeated rounds of talks that produced no breakthrough agreement. Russian positions have remained firm on maximalist demands, while Ukrainian proposals, including multi-point frameworks requiring parliamentary or public ratification, have not yielded a deal eligible for referendum. This pattern of diplomatic deadlock, absent recent catalysts for rapid settlement, aligns with the elevated implied probability that such a vote will not occur in the remaining timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUkraine-Friedensreferendum vor 2027 verabschiedet?
Ukraine-Friedensreferendum vor 2027 verabschiedet?
Ja
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing stalemate in Russia-Ukraine negotiations, with core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires unresolved despite U.S.-led diplomatic efforts through 2025 and early 2026, underpins the strong trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Reports of Ukrainian plans for a spring 2026 vote alongside elections, prompted by external pressure, faced domestic legal challenges and did not advance amid repeated rounds of talks that produced no breakthrough agreement. Russian positions have remained firm on maximalist demands, while Ukrainian proposals, including multi-point frameworks requiring parliamentary or public ratification, have not yielded a deal eligible for referendum. This pattern of diplomatic deadlock, absent recent catalysts for rapid settlement, aligns with the elevated implied probability that such a vote will not occur in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$62,400Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing stalemate in Russia-Ukraine negotiations, with core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires unresolved despite U.S.-led diplomatic efforts through 2025 and early 2026, underpins the strong trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Reports of Ukrainian plans for a spring 2026 vote alongside elections, prompted by external pressure, faced domestic legal challenges and did not advance amid repeated rounds of talks that produced no breakthrough agreement. Russian positions have remained firm on maximalist demands, while Ukrainian proposals, including multi-point frameworks requiring parliamentary or public ratification, have not yielded a deal eligible for referendum. This pattern of diplomatic deadlock, absent recent catalysts for rapid settlement, aligns with the elevated implied probability that such a vote will not occur in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$62,400Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing stalemate in Russia-Ukraine negotiations, with core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires unresolved despite U.S.-led diplomatic efforts through 2025 and early 2026, underpins the strong trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Reports of Ukrainian plans for a spring 2026 vote alongside elections, prompted by external pressure, faced domestic legal challenges and did not advance amid repeated rounds of talks that produced no breakthrough agreement. Russian positions have remained firm on maximalist demands, while Ukrainian proposals, including multi-point frameworks requiring parliamentary or public ratification, have not yielded a deal eligible for referendum. This pattern of diplomatic deadlock, absent recent catalysts for rapid settlement, aligns with the elevated implied probability that such a vote will not occur in the remaining timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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