Ongoing deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, particularly full Russian control of Donbas, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has stated that any such changes require parliamentary approval and a nationwide referendum, yet January 2026 polling showed 54% of Ukrainians rejecting withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas in exchange for security guarantees. Moscow continues to condition any ceasefire on these maximalist demands, while Kyiv prioritizes a ceasefire first. Recent reporting, including a July 2026 Financial Times assessment, indicates Russian President Putin is unlikely to pursue meaningful talks before February 2027, with trilateral discussions suspended since February amid incompatible positions and no new proposals advancing. Martial law further complicates scheduling votes, and the absence of verifiable breakthroughs in the past several months sustains trader expectations of no resolution window opening by end-2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUkraine-Friedensreferendum vor 2027 verabschiedet?
Ukraine-Friedensreferendum vor 2027 verabschiedet?
Ja
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, particularly full Russian control of Donbas, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has stated that any such changes require parliamentary approval and a nationwide referendum, yet January 2026 polling showed 54% of Ukrainians rejecting withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas in exchange for security guarantees. Moscow continues to condition any ceasefire on these maximalist demands, while Kyiv prioritizes a ceasefire first. Recent reporting, including a July 2026 Financial Times assessment, indicates Russian President Putin is unlikely to pursue meaningful talks before February 2027, with trilateral discussions suspended since February amid incompatible positions and no new proposals advancing. Martial law further complicates scheduling votes, and the absence of verifiable breakthroughs in the past several months sustains trader expectations of no resolution window opening by end-2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$62,400Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, particularly full Russian control of Donbas, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has stated that any such changes require parliamentary approval and a nationwide referendum, yet January 2026 polling showed 54% of Ukrainians rejecting withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas in exchange for security guarantees. Moscow continues to condition any ceasefire on these maximalist demands, while Kyiv prioritizes a ceasefire first. Recent reporting, including a July 2026 Financial Times assessment, indicates Russian President Putin is unlikely to pursue meaningful talks before February 2027, with trilateral discussions suspended since February amid incompatible positions and no new proposals advancing. Martial law further complicates scheduling votes, and the absence of verifiable breakthroughs in the past several months sustains trader expectations of no resolution window opening by end-2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$62,400Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, particularly full Russian control of Donbas, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has stated that any such changes require parliamentary approval and a nationwide referendum, yet January 2026 polling showed 54% of Ukrainians rejecting withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas in exchange for security guarantees. Moscow continues to condition any ceasefire on these maximalist demands, while Kyiv prioritizes a ceasefire first. Recent reporting, including a July 2026 Financial Times assessment, indicates Russian President Putin is unlikely to pursue meaningful talks before February 2027, with trilateral discussions suspended since February amid incompatible positions and no new proposals advancing. Martial law further complicates scheduling votes, and the absence of verifiable breakthroughs in the past several months sustains trader expectations of no resolution window opening by end-2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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