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icon for Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?
Politik·Russland

Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?

icon for Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?
Politik·Russland

Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?

$7,653,062 Vol.

31. Okt. 2026
Polymarket

$7,653,062 Vol.

Polymarket

31. Oktober

$1,661,297 Vol.

8%

30. November

$4,508 Vol.

13%

31. Dezember

$2,629,451 Vol.

24%

31. Januar 2027

$21,335 Vol.

34%

28. Februar 2027

$3,547 Vol.

38%

31. März 2027

$70,926 Vol.

40%

30. April 2027

$608 Vol.

45%

31. Mai 2027

$1,560 Vol.

53%

30. Juni 2027

$126,586 Vol.

56%

31. Juli 2027

$1,156 Vol.

58%

31. August 2027

$148 Vol.

62%

30. September 2027

$708 Vol.

64%

31. Oktober 2027

$2,973 Vol.

65%

30. November 2027

$803 Vol.

66%

31. Dezember 2027

$3,949 Vol.

70%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomatic efforts have intensified in September 2026, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner holding talks in Moscow and Kyiv, followed by a Trump-Putin phone call, to revive trilateral negotiations on ending the conflict. Russia has signaled openness to resuming such talks after its September 18–20 State Duma elections, while both sides have floated limited de-escalation measures, including a potential moratorium on strikes against energy infrastructure—though no formal agreement has been confirmed and Russia has attached conditions such as sanctions relief. Major barriers persist around territorial control in Donbas and Ukrainian security guarantees, with Russia continuing frontline operations and preparing winter escalations. Planned October trilateral meetings could influence near-term ceasefire prospects if concrete proposals emerge.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.

A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.

Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.

Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.

If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,653,062
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomatic efforts have intensified in September 2026, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner holding talks in Moscow and Kyiv, followed by a Trump-Putin phone call, to revive trilateral negotiations on ending the conflict. Russia has signaled openness to resuming such talks after its September 18–20 State Duma elections, while both sides have floated limited de-escalation measures, including a potential moratorium on strikes against energy infrastructure—though no formal agreement has been confirmed and Russia has attached conditions such as sanctions relief. Major barriers persist around territorial control in Donbas and Ukrainian security guarantees, with Russia continuing frontline operations and preparing winter escalations. Planned October trilateral meetings could influence near-term ceasefire prospects if concrete proposals emerge.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.

A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.

Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.

Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.

If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,653,062
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Russland-Ukraine-Friedensgespräche bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?

Russland-Ukraine-Friedensgespräche bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?

72%
Ja
icon for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

14%
icon for Wird die Ukraine zustimmen, vor 2027 Gebiete an Russland abzutreten?

Wird die Ukraine zustimmen, vor 2027 Gebiete an Russland abzutreten?

9%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 18 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember 2027" mit 70%, gefolgt von „30. November 2027" mit 66%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 70¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $7.7 million generiert, seit der Markt am May 12, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 18 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Russland x Ukraine Waffenstillstandsabkommen bis...?" ist „31. Dezember 2027" mit 70%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30. November 2027" mit 66%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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