Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM places the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People in a tight contest for mid-tier shares behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with both hovering in the low-to-mid teens. The August Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of viable systemic options, while all eligible party lists completed registration ahead of the 18–20 September vote. Traders assign LDPR and New People the highest implied probabilities for fourth place because their projected national and regional performances remain separated by only a few points, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further back. Limited single-member constituency activity and the three-day voting format could still shift final orderings among these parties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNeue Leute (NL) 39%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 36%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) 11%
Rodina 7%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Neue Leute (NL)
39%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
43%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
14%
Rodina
7%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
4%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
1%
Einiges Russland (ER)
1%
Neue Leute (NL) 39%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 36%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) 11%
Rodina 7%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Neue Leute (NL)
$78 Vol.
39%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
$43 Vol.
43%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
$60 Vol.
14%
Rodina
$73 Vol.
7%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
$503 Vol.
4%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
$151 Vol.
1%
Einiges Russland (ER)
$166 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM places the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People in a tight contest for mid-tier shares behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with both hovering in the low-to-mid teens. The August Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of viable systemic options, while all eligible party lists completed registration ahead of the 18–20 September vote. Traders assign LDPR and New People the highest implied probabilities for fourth place because their projected national and regional performances remain separated by only a few points, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further back. Limited single-member constituency activity and the three-day voting format could still shift final orderings among these parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volumen
$1,073Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM places the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People in a tight contest for mid-tier shares behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with both hovering in the low-to-mid teens. The August Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of viable systemic options, while all eligible party lists completed registration ahead of the 18–20 September vote. Traders assign LDPR and New People the highest implied probabilities for fourth place because their projected national and regional performances remain separated by only a few points, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further back. Limited single-member constituency activity and the three-day voting format could still shift final orderings among these parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$1,073Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as WCIOM and FOM places the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People in a tight contest for mid-tier shares behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with both hovering in the low-to-mid teens. The August Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of viable systemic options, while all eligible party lists completed registration ahead of the 18–20 September vote. Traders assign LDPR and New People the highest implied probabilities for fourth place because their projected national and regional performances remain separated by only a few points, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further back. Limited single-member constituency activity and the three-day voting format could still shift final orderings among these parties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
53%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
89%
Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?
99%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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