President Trump's continued service aligns with the lack of active removal processes under constitutional provisions such as impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation. Congressional dynamics show no advancing articles of impeachment with sufficient bipartisan support for Senate conviction, while official statements and public schedule confirm ongoing executive functions without interruption. Historical base rates for full-term service by incumbents, absent acute crises, underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against early departure before 2027. Recent legislative priorities and cabinet confirmations have advanced without triggering succession protocols, though scheduled events like midterm primaries could introduce volatility if major shifts occur.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
7% Chance
$11,192,588 Vol.
$11,192,588 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
7% Chance
$11,192,588 Vol.
$11,192,588 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's continued service aligns with the lack of active removal processes under constitutional provisions such as impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation. Congressional dynamics show no advancing articles of impeachment with sufficient bipartisan support for Senate conviction, while official statements and public schedule confirm ongoing executive functions without interruption. Historical base rates for full-term service by incumbents, absent acute crises, underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against early departure before 2027. Recent legislative priorities and cabinet confirmations have advanced without triggering succession protocols, though scheduled events like midterm primaries could introduce volatility if major shifts occur.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$11,192,588Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's continued service aligns with the lack of active removal processes under constitutional provisions such as impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation. Congressional dynamics show no advancing articles of impeachment with sufficient bipartisan support for Senate conviction, while official statements and public schedule confirm ongoing executive functions without interruption. Historical base rates for full-term service by incumbents, absent acute crises, underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against early departure before 2027. Recent legislative priorities and cabinet confirmations have advanced without triggering succession protocols, though scheduled events like midterm primaries could introduce volatility if major shifts occur.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$11,192,588Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...President Trump's continued service aligns with the lack of active removal processes under constitutional provisions such as impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation. Congressional dynamics show no advancing articles of impeachment with sufficient bipartisan support for Senate conviction, while official statements and public schedule confirm ongoing executive functions without interruption. Historical base rates for full-term service by incumbents, absent acute crises, underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against early departure before 2027. Recent legislative priorities and cabinet confirmations have advanced without triggering succession protocols, though scheduled events like midterm primaries could introduce volatility if major shifts occur.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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