Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic efforts to pursue impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, including resolutions introduced over Iran-related statements earlier in 2026. These procedural hurdles, combined with the high thresholds for conviction or cabinet action, have kept removal prospects low through the remainder of the year. President Trump continues to issue executive orders on immigration, trade, and national security while maintaining control of the administration. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent, reflecting the limited realistic pathways to departure before December 31, 2026, absent unforeseen health or legal developments that have not materialized. Midterm elections later this year could shift dynamics, but current legislative arithmetic strongly favors continuity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
7% Chance
$10,515,496 Vol.
$10,515,496 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
7% Chance
$10,515,496 Vol.
$10,515,496 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic efforts to pursue impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, including resolutions introduced over Iran-related statements earlier in 2026. These procedural hurdles, combined with the high thresholds for conviction or cabinet action, have kept removal prospects low through the remainder of the year. President Trump continues to issue executive orders on immigration, trade, and national security while maintaining control of the administration. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent, reflecting the limited realistic pathways to departure before December 31, 2026, absent unforeseen health or legal developments that have not materialized. Midterm elections later this year could shift dynamics, but current legislative arithmetic strongly favors continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$10,515,496Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic efforts to pursue impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, including resolutions introduced over Iran-related statements earlier in 2026. These procedural hurdles, combined with the high thresholds for conviction or cabinet action, have kept removal prospects low through the remainder of the year. President Trump continues to issue executive orders on immigration, trade, and national security while maintaining control of the administration. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent, reflecting the limited realistic pathways to departure before December 31, 2026, absent unforeseen health or legal developments that have not materialized. Midterm elections later this year could shift dynamics, but current legislative arithmetic strongly favors continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,515,496Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic efforts to pursue impeachment or invoke the 25th Amendment, including resolutions introduced over Iran-related statements earlier in 2026. These procedural hurdles, combined with the high thresholds for conviction or cabinet action, have kept removal prospects low through the remainder of the year. President Trump continues to issue executive orders on immigration, trade, and national security while maintaining control of the administration. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent, reflecting the limited realistic pathways to departure before December 31, 2026, absent unforeseen health or legal developments that have not materialized. Midterm elections later this year could shift dynamics, but current legislative arithmetic strongly favors continuity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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