Trump remains in office and continues to issue executive orders and public remarks as of August 2026, with recent actions focused on trade, immigration, space policy, and federal workforce matters. Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly blocked prior Democratic efforts to advance impeachment resolutions or invoke the 25th Amendment. No credible reports of health-related incapacity or resignation have emerged. Removal before 2027 would require either a successful House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment—both structurally difficult under current partisan alignments and historical precedent. Traders price the low probability of these thresholds being met in the remaining months of 2026 accordingly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
6% Chance
$10,921,819 Vol.
$10,921,819 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
6% Chance
$10,921,819 Vol.
$10,921,819 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains in office and continues to issue executive orders and public remarks as of August 2026, with recent actions focused on trade, immigration, space policy, and federal workforce matters. Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly blocked prior Democratic efforts to advance impeachment resolutions or invoke the 25th Amendment. No credible reports of health-related incapacity or resignation have emerged. Removal before 2027 would require either a successful House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment—both structurally difficult under current partisan alignments and historical precedent. Traders price the low probability of these thresholds being met in the remaining months of 2026 accordingly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$10,921,819Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains in office and continues to issue executive orders and public remarks as of August 2026, with recent actions focused on trade, immigration, space policy, and federal workforce matters. Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly blocked prior Democratic efforts to advance impeachment resolutions or invoke the 25th Amendment. No credible reports of health-related incapacity or resignation have emerged. Removal before 2027 would require either a successful House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment—both structurally difficult under current partisan alignments and historical precedent. Traders price the low probability of these thresholds being met in the remaining months of 2026 accordingly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,921,819Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains in office and continues to issue executive orders and public remarks as of August 2026, with recent actions focused on trade, immigration, space policy, and federal workforce matters. Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly blocked prior Democratic efforts to advance impeachment resolutions or invoke the 25th Amendment. No credible reports of health-related incapacity or resignation have emerged. Removal before 2027 would require either a successful House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment—both structurally difficult under current partisan alignments and historical precedent. Traders price the low probability of these thresholds being met in the remaining months of 2026 accordingly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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