Trump’s public statements and actions since taking office in 2025 reflect a clear intent to serve through the full second term ending in 2029, consistent with historical patterns where presidents rarely depart early absent acute health crises or bipartisan removal efforts. Institutional barriers reinforce this view, including the constitutional requirement for a Senate supermajority to convict on impeachment charges and limited midterm leverage in a divided Congress. Trader consensus at 96.4% against resignation before 2027 tracks these structural realities and the absence of credible recent catalysts such as sustained cabinet pressure or formal 25th Amendment discussions. Even so, unforeseen developments like a serious medical event, major scandal prompting widespread bipartisan calls for departure, or successful invocation of removal procedures could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$19,654 Vol.
$19,654 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$19,654 Vol.
$19,654 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s public statements and actions since taking office in 2025 reflect a clear intent to serve through the full second term ending in 2029, consistent with historical patterns where presidents rarely depart early absent acute health crises or bipartisan removal efforts. Institutional barriers reinforce this view, including the constitutional requirement for a Senate supermajority to convict on impeachment charges and limited midterm leverage in a divided Congress. Trader consensus at 96.4% against resignation before 2027 tracks these structural realities and the absence of credible recent catalysts such as sustained cabinet pressure or formal 25th Amendment discussions. Even so, unforeseen developments like a serious medical event, major scandal prompting widespread bipartisan calls for departure, or successful invocation of removal procedures could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volumen
$19,654Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s public statements and actions since taking office in 2025 reflect a clear intent to serve through the full second term ending in 2029, consistent with historical patterns where presidents rarely depart early absent acute health crises or bipartisan removal efforts. Institutional barriers reinforce this view, including the constitutional requirement for a Senate supermajority to convict on impeachment charges and limited midterm leverage in a divided Congress. Trader consensus at 96.4% against resignation before 2027 tracks these structural realities and the absence of credible recent catalysts such as sustained cabinet pressure or formal 25th Amendment discussions. Even so, unforeseen developments like a serious medical event, major scandal prompting widespread bipartisan calls for departure, or successful invocation of removal procedures could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$19,654Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s public statements and actions since taking office in 2025 reflect a clear intent to serve through the full second term ending in 2029, consistent with historical patterns where presidents rarely depart early absent acute health crises or bipartisan removal efforts. Institutional barriers reinforce this view, including the constitutional requirement for a Senate supermajority to convict on impeachment charges and limited midterm leverage in a divided Congress. Trader consensus at 96.4% against resignation before 2027 tracks these structural realities and the absence of credible recent catalysts such as sustained cabinet pressure or formal 25th Amendment discussions. Even so, unforeseen developments like a serious medical event, major scandal prompting widespread bipartisan calls for departure, or successful invocation of removal procedures could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen