Trump's continued active engagement in governance, including recent personnel decisions and foreign policy moves, combined with the absence of credible resignation signals, health disclosures, or sustained congressional momentum for removal proceedings, underpins the strong trader consensus against an early exit. With roughly three months remaining before the December 31, 2026 cutoff, historical precedent shows presidents rarely depart voluntarily absent acute crises, while Republican congressional majorities have contained prior impeachment efforts and 25th Amendment speculation. Speculation around post-2028 plans and legacy priorities further aligns with completion of the current term. Low-probability shifts could still arise from sudden medical developments, major scandals prompting cabinet action, or unexpected midterm fallout, though none appear imminent.