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icon for Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?

Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?

icon for Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?

Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?

Sep. 11

Sep. 11

38,0–38,4 53%

38,5–38,9 30%

37,5–37,9 21%

39,0–39,4 7%

Polymarket
NEU

38,0–38,4 53%

38,5–38,9 30%

37,5–37,9 21%

39,0–39,4 7%

Polymarket
NEU

<37,5

$427 Vol.

<1%

37,5–37,9

$361 Vol.

21%

38,0–38,4

$1,705 Vol.

53%

38,5–38,9

$1,013 Vol.

30%

39,0–39,4

$422 Vol.

7%

39,5+

$267 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with RealClearPolitics, New York Times, and Silver Bulletin averages near 38% as of early September 2026. Trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range because multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Focaldata/Financial Times and NBC News tracking, have shown readings between 33% and 36% amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Elevated gasoline prices, broader inflation concerns, and voter pessimism over cost-of-living trends have weighed on ratings, while Republican support has softened modestly in the same period. No major intervening events have shifted the trajectory in the immediate days before September 11, keeping probabilities aligned with these recent data points.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$4,194
Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with RealClearPolitics, New York Times, and Silver Bulletin averages near 38% as of early September 2026. Trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range because multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Focaldata/Financial Times and NBC News tracking, have shown readings between 33% and 36% amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Elevated gasoline prices, broader inflation concerns, and voter pessimism over cost-of-living trends have weighed on ratings, while Republican support has softened modestly in the same period. No major intervening events have shifted the trajectory in the immediate days before September 11, keeping probabilities aligned with these recent data points.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$4,194
Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „38,0–38,4" mit 53%, gefolgt von „38,5–38,9" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 7, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?" ist „38,0–38,4" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „38,5–38,9" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Trumps Zustimmungsrate am 11. September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.