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icon for Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?
Politik·Trump

Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?

icon for Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?
Politik·Trump

Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?

Jan. 1, 2027

Jan. 1, 2027

$1,400,550 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$1,400,550 Vol.

Polymarket

Kristi Noem

$97,520 Vol.

40%

Dan Scavino

$137 Vol.

29%

Pete Hegseth

$126,658 Vol.

24%

Howard Lutnick

$94,437 Vol.

24%

Susie Wiles

$55,831 Vol.

24%

Kash Patel

$304,006 Vol.

23%

Lee Zeldin

$31,610 Vol.

26%

David Sacks

$9,151 Vol.

22%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,631 Vol.

24%

Tom Homan

$187 Vol.

26%

John Ratcliffe

$554 Vol.

13%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$90,835 Vol.

13%

Russell Vought

$284 Vol.

17%

Scott Bessent

$7,892 Vol.

9%

Marco Rubio

$19,710 Vol.

8%

Stephen Miller

$3,769 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.High turnover has defined the second Trump administration, with 27 Senate-confirmed Cabinet department officials departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace of the prior term—and nearly one-quarter of non-Senate-confirmed political appointees exiting by September 2026. Cabinet-level changes include firings or resignations of Kristi Noem at Homeland Security, Pam Bondi at Justice, Lori Chavez-DeRemer at Labor, and Tulsi Gabbard at national intelligence, often tied to policy execution disputes, loyalty questions, or personal circumstances. White House senior staff turnover reached 54 percent amid ongoing reshuffles, while agency-level reductions in force and legal challenges over workforce cuts at FEMA and other departments add pressure. The November 2026 midterms and any resulting congressional dynamics represent the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate further exits before the 2027 threshold.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$1,400,550
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.High turnover has defined the second Trump administration, with 27 Senate-confirmed Cabinet department officials departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace of the prior term—and nearly one-quarter of non-Senate-confirmed political appointees exiting by September 2026. Cabinet-level changes include firings or resignations of Kristi Noem at Homeland Security, Pam Bondi at Justice, Lori Chavez-DeRemer at Labor, and Tulsi Gabbard at national intelligence, often tied to policy execution disputes, loyalty questions, or personal circumstances. White House senior staff turnover reached 54 percent amid ongoing reshuffles, while agency-level reductions in force and legal challenges over workforce cuts at FEMA and other departments add pressure. The November 2026 midterms and any resulting congressional dynamics represent the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate further exits before the 2027 threshold.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$1,400,550
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Trump vor 2027 zurücktreten?

Wird Trump vor 2027 zurücktreten?

3%
Ja
icon for Trump nicht mehr Präsident vor 2027?

Trump nicht mehr Präsident vor 2027?

6%
Ja
icon for Wird Trump bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 zurücktreten?

Wird Trump bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 zurücktreten?

3%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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