Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s amid ongoing public skepticism over U.S. military involvement in Iran, with recent polls showing majority opposition to further action and broad views that associated costs outweigh benefits. This environment creates week-to-week volatility as new polling releases, official statements on foreign policy, or economic indicators can shift sentiment among independents and some Republicans. The even 50% implied probability for an up or down move this week reflects limited short-term catalysts and the potential for offsetting developments, such as diplomatic updates or domestic policy announcements, to produce small net changes in either direction before the next major survey results.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUp
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
Up
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s amid ongoing public skepticism over U.S. military involvement in Iran, with recent polls showing majority opposition to further action and broad views that associated costs outweigh benefits. This environment creates week-to-week volatility as new polling releases, official statements on foreign policy, or economic indicators can shift sentiment among independents and some Republicans. The even 50% implied probability for an up or down move this week reflects limited short-term catalysts and the potential for offsetting developments, such as diplomatic updates or domestic policy announcements, to produce small net changes in either direction before the next major survey results.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s amid ongoing public skepticism over U.S. military involvement in Iran, with recent polls showing majority opposition to further action and broad views that associated costs outweigh benefits. This environment creates week-to-week volatility as new polling releases, official statements on foreign policy, or economic indicators can shift sentiment among independents and some Republicans. The even 50% implied probability for an up or down move this week reflects limited short-term catalysts and the potential for offsetting developments, such as diplomatic updates or domestic policy announcements, to produce small net changes in either direction before the next major survey results.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s amid ongoing public skepticism over U.S. military involvement in Iran, with recent polls showing majority opposition to further action and broad views that associated costs outweigh benefits. This environment creates week-to-week volatility as new polling releases, official statements on foreign policy, or economic indicators can shift sentiment among independents and some Republicans. The even 50% implied probability for an up or down move this week reflects limited short-term catalysts and the potential for offsetting developments, such as diplomatic updates or domestic policy announcements, to produce small net changes in either direction before the next major survey results.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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