Trump's position as president, backed by Republican majorities and cabinet alignment, creates substantial institutional barriers to 25th Amendment invocation, which requires vice-presidential and cabinet concurrence or congressional action. No verified reports of incapacity, health crises, or cabinet-level dissent have emerged through mid-2026, consistent with historical patterns where the amendment has addressed temporary transfers rather than contested removals. Midterm outcomes and ongoing policy implementation further reinforce party cohesion against such a step. Trader pricing at 97% for no removal embeds these structural realities while leaving room for low-probability shifts from acute medical events, unforeseen bipartisan coalitions, or rapid escalation in legal proceedings that could alter cabinet dynamics before the 2027 threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
3% Chance
$49,534 Vol.
$49,534 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
3% Chance
$49,534 Vol.
$49,534 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump's position as president, backed by Republican majorities and cabinet alignment, creates substantial institutional barriers to 25th Amendment invocation, which requires vice-presidential and cabinet concurrence or congressional action. No verified reports of incapacity, health crises, or cabinet-level dissent have emerged through mid-2026, consistent with historical patterns where the amendment has addressed temporary transfers rather than contested removals. Midterm outcomes and ongoing policy implementation further reinforce party cohesion against such a step. Trader pricing at 97% for no removal embeds these structural realities while leaving room for low-probability shifts from acute medical events, unforeseen bipartisan coalitions, or rapid escalation in legal proceedings that could alter cabinet dynamics before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$49,534Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump's position as president, backed by Republican majorities and cabinet alignment, creates substantial institutional barriers to 25th Amendment invocation, which requires vice-presidential and cabinet concurrence or congressional action. No verified reports of incapacity, health crises, or cabinet-level dissent have emerged through mid-2026, consistent with historical patterns where the amendment has addressed temporary transfers rather than contested removals. Midterm outcomes and ongoing policy implementation further reinforce party cohesion against such a step. Trader pricing at 97% for no removal embeds these structural realities while leaving room for low-probability shifts from acute medical events, unforeseen bipartisan coalitions, or rapid escalation in legal proceedings that could alter cabinet dynamics before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Volumen
$49,534Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's position as president, backed by Republican majorities and cabinet alignment, creates substantial institutional barriers to 25th Amendment invocation, which requires vice-presidential and cabinet concurrence or congressional action. No verified reports of incapacity, health crises, or cabinet-level dissent have emerged through mid-2026, consistent with historical patterns where the amendment has addressed temporary transfers rather than contested removals. Midterm outcomes and ongoing policy implementation further reinforce party cohesion against such a step. Trader pricing at 97% for no removal embeds these structural realities while leaving room for low-probability shifts from acute medical events, unforeseen bipartisan coalitions, or rapid escalation in legal proceedings that could alter cabinet dynamics before the 2027 threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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