Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects WTI crude oil futures hovering around $91 per barrel for the May contract as of mid-April 2026, with elevated implied risk premiums from ongoing Middle East tensions, including Iran conflict disruptions and Strait of Hormuz blockade risks that spiked prices above $100 earlier this month before a pullback. The latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending April 10 showed a surprise 913,000-barrel crude inventory drawdown to 463.8 million barrels, defying build expectations and bolstering near-term support amid robust U.S. refinery runs at 16 million barrels per day. OPEC+ approved a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike for May on April 5, tempering supply fears, while traders eye this week's EIA data release, potential OPEC+ reviews, and any Hormuz escalations as key catalysts ahead of April's close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$34,510,789 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $170
1%
↑ $160
2%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ 130 $
6%
↑ $125
6%
↑ $120
11%
↑ $115
17%
↑ $110
21%
↑ 105 $
28%
↑ $100
43%
↓ $85
75%
↓ $80
38%
↓ $75
19%
↓ $70
8%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
$34,510,789 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $170
1%
↑ $160
2%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ 130 $
6%
↑ $125
6%
↑ $120
11%
↑ $115
17%
↑ $110
21%
↑ 105 $
28%
↑ $100
43%
↓ $85
75%
↓ $80
38%
↓ $75
19%
↓ $70
8%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/exploreResolver
0x65070BE91...For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/exploreResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects WTI crude oil futures hovering around $91 per barrel for the May contract as of mid-April 2026, with elevated implied risk premiums from ongoing Middle East tensions, including Iran conflict disruptions and Strait of Hormuz blockade risks that spiked prices above $100 earlier this month before a pullback. The latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending April 10 showed a surprise 913,000-barrel crude inventory drawdown to 463.8 million barrels, defying build expectations and bolstering near-term support amid robust U.S. refinery runs at 16 million barrels per day. OPEC+ approved a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike for May on April 5, tempering supply fears, while traders eye this week's EIA data release, potential OPEC+ reviews, and any Hormuz escalations as key catalysts ahead of April's close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen