Elevated crude oil prices near $84–87 per barrel, driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions including Iran-related disruptions to Strait of Hormuz flows, have anchored U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.10–$4.22 per gallon as of late August 2026. This level reflects persistent supply constraints and higher crack spreads despite record domestic production and rebuilding inventories. Seasonal summer demand has supported prices, while EIA forecasts anticipate modest Q3 declines toward $3.80 as margins normalize. Key near-term factors for September resolution include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any renewed diplomatic signals on energy exports. Trader consensus on hitting specific thresholds will hinge on whether oil stabilizes below $80 or faces further volatility before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
30. Sep. 2026
↑ $4.50
50%
↑ $4.40
50%
↑ $4.30
50%
↑ $4.20
50%
↓ $4.00
51%
↓ $3.90
50%
↓ $3.70
50%
↓ $3.50
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $84–87 per barrel, driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions including Iran-related disruptions to Strait of Hormuz flows, have anchored U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.10–$4.22 per gallon as of late August 2026. This level reflects persistent supply constraints and higher crack spreads despite record domestic production and rebuilding inventories. Seasonal summer demand has supported prices, while EIA forecasts anticipate modest Q3 declines toward $3.80 as margins normalize. Key near-term factors for September resolution include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any renewed diplomatic signals on energy exports. Trader consensus on hitting specific thresholds will hinge on whether oil stabilizes below $80 or faces further volatility before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $84–87 per barrel, driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions including Iran-related disruptions to Strait of Hormuz flows, have anchored U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.10–$4.22 per gallon as of late August 2026. This level reflects persistent supply constraints and higher crack spreads despite record domestic production and rebuilding inventories. Seasonal summer demand has supported prices, while EIA forecasts anticipate modest Q3 declines toward $3.80 as margins normalize. Key near-term factors for September resolution include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any renewed diplomatic signals on energy exports. Trader consensus on hitting specific thresholds will hinge on whether oil stabilizes below $80 or faces further volatility before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$0Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $84–87 per barrel, driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions including Iran-related disruptions to Strait of Hormuz flows, have anchored U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.10–$4.22 per gallon as of late August 2026. This level reflects persistent supply constraints and higher crack spreads despite record domestic production and rebuilding inventories. Seasonal summer demand has supported prices, while EIA forecasts anticipate modest Q3 declines toward $3.80 as margins normalize. Key near-term factors for September resolution include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential weather-driven demand shifts, and any renewed diplomatic signals on energy exports. Trader consensus on hitting specific thresholds will hinge on whether oil stabilizes below $80 or faces further volatility before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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