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icon for Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?
Finanzen·KPIs

Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?

icon for Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?
Finanzen·KPIs

Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?

Juli 29

Juli 29

Juli 29

Juli 29

Juli 29

Juli 29

NEU
29. Juli 2026
Polymarket

$4,631 Vol.

Polymarket

58 Mrd. $

$1,116 Vol.

73%

58,5 Mrd. $

$392 Vol.

86%

59 Mrd. USD

$912 Vol.

56%

59,5 Mrd. $

$689 Vol.

47%

60 Mrd. $

$1,522 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft’s fiscal Q4 2026 cloud results, covering the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure and server products, will be reported in late July earnings and are guided for 39-40% constant-currency growth in Azure and other cloud services. Recent quarters show sustained momentum, with Intelligent Cloud revenue rising 28-29% year-over-year and Azure expanding 39-40%, fueled by AI infrastructure demand, capacity additions, and enterprise adoption across workloads. Traders are monitoring whether actual outcomes exceed consensus estimates amid elevated capital expenditures of roughly $190 billion for calendar 2026 and potential supply constraints. Key swing factors include consumption-based AI revenue trends and any revisions to forward guidance relative to the $54 billion-plus Microsoft Cloud run rate seen in the prior quarter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,631
Enddatum
29. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 9:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft’s fiscal Q4 2026 cloud results, covering the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure and server products, will be reported in late July earnings and are guided for 39-40% constant-currency growth in Azure and other cloud services. Recent quarters show sustained momentum, with Intelligent Cloud revenue rising 28-29% year-over-year and Azure expanding 39-40%, fueled by AI infrastructure demand, capacity additions, and enterprise adoption across workloads. Traders are monitoring whether actual outcomes exceed consensus estimates amid elevated capital expenditures of roughly $190 billion for calendar 2026 and potential supply constraints. Key swing factors include consumption-based AI revenue trends and any revisions to forward guidance relative to the $54 billion-plus Microsoft Cloud run rate seen in the prior quarter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,631
Enddatum
29. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 9:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Verwandte

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „58,5 Mrd. $" mit 86%, gefolgt von „58 Mrd. $" mit 73%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 86¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 86% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud-Umsatz über __ liegen?" ist „58,5 Mrd. $" mit 86%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 86% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „58 Mrd. $" mit 73%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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