Russian forces have conducted sustained offensive operations along the Pokrovsk axis in Donetsk Oblast, where Bilytske lies north of the city, as part of efforts to secure the remainder of the oblast. Russian Ministry of Defense statements on July 23, 2026, asserted full control over the settlement following clashes, consistent with incremental gains reported in surrounding areas such as Rodynske and Hryshyne. Institute for the Study of War assessments through mid-July noted ongoing Ukrainian defensive presence in Bilytske via geolocated strikes, while documenting Russia’s low monthly territorial advance rate of roughly 1.2 square kilometers per day amid infiltration tactics and Ukrainian counter-pressure. Broader context includes Ukraine’s localized counteroffensive activity earlier in 2026 and Russian emphasis on this sector for supply-route disruption, with any remaining market resolution hinging on independent confirmation of complete territorial control by the specified cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Russland Bilytske erobern, bis...?
$308,886 Vol.
31. August
17%
30. September
41%
31. Dezember
75%
$308,886 Vol.
31. August
17%
30. September
41%
31. Dezember
75%
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted sustained offensive operations along the Pokrovsk axis in Donetsk Oblast, where Bilytske lies north of the city, as part of efforts to secure the remainder of the oblast. Russian Ministry of Defense statements on July 23, 2026, asserted full control over the settlement following clashes, consistent with incremental gains reported in surrounding areas such as Rodynske and Hryshyne. Institute for the Study of War assessments through mid-July noted ongoing Ukrainian defensive presence in Bilytske via geolocated strikes, while documenting Russia’s low monthly territorial advance rate of roughly 1.2 square kilometers per day amid infiltration tactics and Ukrainian counter-pressure. Broader context includes Ukraine’s localized counteroffensive activity earlier in 2026 and Russian emphasis on this sector for supply-route disruption, with any remaining market resolution hinging on independent confirmation of complete territorial control by the specified cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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