Tesla's Cybercab, unveiled in late 2024 as a purpose-built autonomous robotaxi without steering wheel or pedals, carries an announced target price under $30,000 with volume production eyed for 2026 at Giga Texas. However, pilot production only began in February 2026, and recent updates confirm a shift toward late-2026 output tied to Full Self-Driving (FSD) software maturation, specifically V15 expected around that timeframe or into 2027. Regulatory hurdles for unsupervised autonomous operation, manufacturing scale-up complexities, and the need for demonstrated safety benchmarks have kept large-scale sales timelines uncertain. Traders see these execution risks and typical autonomous vehicle approval delays as outweighing early announcements, sustaining the strong "No" consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$47,840 Vol.
$47,840 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$47,840 Vol.
$47,840 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tesla's Cybercab, unveiled in late 2024 as a purpose-built autonomous robotaxi without steering wheel or pedals, carries an announced target price under $30,000 with volume production eyed for 2026 at Giga Texas. However, pilot production only began in February 2026, and recent updates confirm a shift toward late-2026 output tied to Full Self-Driving (FSD) software maturation, specifically V15 expected around that timeframe or into 2027. Regulatory hurdles for unsupervised autonomous operation, manufacturing scale-up complexities, and the need for demonstrated safety benchmarks have kept large-scale sales timelines uncertain. Traders see these execution risks and typical autonomous vehicle approval delays as outweighing early announcements, sustaining the strong "No" consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ET
Volumen
$47,840Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tesla's Cybercab, unveiled in late 2024 as a purpose-built autonomous robotaxi without steering wheel or pedals, carries an announced target price under $30,000 with volume production eyed for 2026 at Giga Texas. However, pilot production only began in February 2026, and recent updates confirm a shift toward late-2026 output tied to Full Self-Driving (FSD) software maturation, specifically V15 expected around that timeframe or into 2027. Regulatory hurdles for unsupervised autonomous operation, manufacturing scale-up complexities, and the need for demonstrated safety benchmarks have kept large-scale sales timelines uncertain. Traders see these execution risks and typical autonomous vehicle approval delays as outweighing early announcements, sustaining the strong "No" consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$47,840Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's Cybercab, unveiled in late 2024 as a purpose-built autonomous robotaxi without steering wheel or pedals, carries an announced target price under $30,000 with volume production eyed for 2026 at Giga Texas. However, pilot production only began in February 2026, and recent updates confirm a shift toward late-2026 output tied to Full Self-Driving (FSD) software maturation, specifically V15 expected around that timeframe or into 2027. Regulatory hurdles for unsupervised autonomous operation, manufacturing scale-up complexities, and the need for demonstrated safety benchmarks have kept large-scale sales timelines uncertain. Traders see these execution risks and typical autonomous vehicle approval delays as outweighing early announcements, sustaining the strong "No" consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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