The 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final field stays wide open, leaving numerous combinations of defeated semifinalists possible for the third-place match. Strong European sides such as France, England, Spain, and Belgium sit alongside Argentina, Morocco, Switzerland, and Norway, each with viable routes through the knockout bracket based on recent form, depth, and path strength. This parity keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around the listed pairings, as no single team or matchup has pulled away following group-stage and round-of-16 results. Historical patterns of semifinal upsets and rotation further sustain the balanced trader consensus across outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFRA gegen ENG 100.0%
MAR gegen NOR 10%
FRA gegen NOR <1%
FRA gegen ARG <1%
$63,867 Vol.
$63,867 Vol.
FRA gegen NOR
Nein
FRA gegen ENG
Ja
FRA gegen ARG
Nein
FRA gegen SUI
Nein
MAR gegen NOR
Nein
MAR gegen ENG
Nein
MAR gegen ARG
Nein
MAR gegen SUI
Nein
ESP gegen NOR
Nein
ESP gegen ENG
Nein
ESP gegen ARG
Nein
ESP gegen SUI
Nein
BEL gegen NOR
Nein
BEL gegen ENG
Nein
BEL gegen ARG
Nein
BEL gegen SUI
Nein
FRA gegen ENG 100.0%
MAR gegen NOR 10%
FRA gegen NOR <1%
FRA gegen ARG <1%
$63,867 Vol.
$63,867 Vol.
FRA gegen NOR
Nein
FRA gegen ENG
Ja
FRA gegen ARG
Nein
FRA gegen SUI
Nein
MAR gegen NOR
Nein
MAR gegen ENG
Nein
MAR gegen ARG
Nein
MAR gegen SUI
Nein
ESP gegen NOR
Nein
ESP gegen ENG
Nein
ESP gegen ARG
Nein
ESP gegen SUI
Nein
BEL gegen NOR
Nein
BEL gegen ENG
Nein
BEL gegen ARG
Nein
BEL gegen SUI
Nein
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup 3rd Place Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup 3rd Place Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final field stays wide open, leaving numerous combinations of defeated semifinalists possible for the third-place match. Strong European sides such as France, England, Spain, and Belgium sit alongside Argentina, Morocco, Switzerland, and Norway, each with viable routes through the knockout bracket based on recent form, depth, and path strength. This parity keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around the listed pairings, as no single team or matchup has pulled away following group-stage and round-of-16 results. Historical patterns of semifinal upsets and rotation further sustain the balanced trader consensus across outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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