The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFrance 100.0%
Argentina <1%
England <1%
Spain <1%
$134,870 Vol.
$134,870 Vol.
19. Juli 2026
Argentina
No
England
No
Spain
No
France
Yes
France 100.0%
Argentina <1%
England <1%
Spain <1%
$134,870 Vol.
$134,870 Vol.
19. Juli 2026
Argentina
$1,535 Vol.
No
England
$45,191 Vol.
No
Spain
$1,352 Vol.
No
France
$86,792 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volumen
$134,870Enddatum
19. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$134,870Enddatum
19. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinal stage with France, Spain, Argentina, and England as the final four contenders. Trader consensus reflects a tight race for fourth place because these sides have posted comparable recent form, defensive resilience, and attacking depth through the knockout rounds. Each team carries distinct advantages—such as France’s consistent clean sheets, Spain’s late-match momentum, Argentina’s experience defending their title, and England’s set-piece threat—that could determine semifinal outcomes and the subsequent third-place playoff. With no dominant favorite emerging from head-to-head trends or rest differentials, the implied probabilities remain closely bunched, underscoring the parity among elite squads in a high-stakes elimination format.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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