Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 23, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $212 lows amid AI enthusiasm following CEO Tim Cook's February developer conference tease of Apple Intelligence features. Current trading at $228.50 reflects bullish momentum from strong iPhone 15 upgrade cycles and $110B buyback authorization, though China sales weakness caps upside. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision—traders eye 75bps cumulative cuts by year-end—and antitrust scrutiny on App Store fees. Historical precedent shows AAPL averaging 2% weekly gains in bull markets, but volatility spikes near options expiration on March 21 could sway resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$240
99%
$245
68%
$250
44%
$255
4%
$260
3%
$907 Vol.
$240
99%
$245
68%
$250
44%
$255
4%
$260
3%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 23, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $212 lows amid AI enthusiasm following CEO Tim Cook's February developer conference tease of Apple Intelligence features. Current trading at $228.50 reflects bullish momentum from strong iPhone 15 upgrade cycles and $110B buyback authorization, though China sales weakness caps upside. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision—traders eye 75bps cumulative cuts by year-end—and antitrust scrutiny on App Store fees. Historical precedent shows AAPL averaging 2% weekly gains in bull markets, but volatility spikes near options expiration on March 21 could sway resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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