Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$76,831 Vol.
28 feb 2026
25%+
Yes
30%+
Yes
40%+
Yes
50%+
Yes
$76,831 Vol.
25%+
$22,655 Vol.
Yes
30%+
$12,037 Vol.
Yes
40%+
$12,342 Vol.
Yes
50%+
$29,798 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$76,831Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$76,831Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes