The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie in first-round intentions. Rodrigues maintains support near 56 percent approval linked to state spending on education and infrastructure, while Neto has consolidated independents and right-leaning voters following his party's 2025 break with the Lula administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. National polarization, shifting municipal alliances, and the rematch dynamic from 2022 continue to limit separation between the frontrunners, leaving room for late polling shifts or coalition adjustments to influence trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
ACM Neto 45%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$35,682 Vol.
$35,682 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
46%
ACM Neto
45%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
ACM Neto 45%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$35,682 Vol.
$35,682 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$10,261 Vol.
46%
ACM Neto
$12,114 Vol.
45%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$3,451 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$2,173 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,935 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie in first-round intentions. Rodrigues maintains support near 56 percent approval linked to state spending on education and infrastructure, while Neto has consolidated independents and right-leaning voters following his party's 2025 break with the Lula administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. National polarization, shifting municipal alliances, and the rematch dynamic from 2022 continue to limit separation between the frontrunners, leaving room for late polling shifts or coalition adjustments to influence trader consensus.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$35,682Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie in first-round intentions. Rodrigues maintains support near 56 percent approval linked to state spending on education and infrastructure, while Neto has consolidated independents and right-leaning voters following his party's 2025 break with the Lula administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. National polarization, shifting municipal alliances, and the rematch dynamic from 2022 continue to limit separation between the frontrunners, leaving room for late polling shifts or coalition adjustments to influence trader consensus.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$35,682Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie in first-round intentions. Rodrigues maintains support near 56 percent approval linked to state spending on education and infrastructure, while Neto has consolidated independents and right-leaning voters following his party's 2025 break with the Lula administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. National polarization, shifting municipal alliances, and the rematch dynamic from 2022 continue to limit separation between the frontrunners, leaving room for late polling shifts or coalition adjustments to influence trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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