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CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

$13,043 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$13,043 Vol.

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$8,626 Vol.

99%

Peter Verbica

$1,175 Vol.

66%

Sean Dougherty

$148 Vol.

27%

Tuka Gafari

$1,162 Vol.

11%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$352 Vol.

3%

Lars Mapstead

$55 Vol.

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,525 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$13,043
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$13,043
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-19 Primary Winners" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jimmy Panetta" con 99%, seguido de "Peter Verbica" con 66%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "CA-19 Primary Winners" ha generado $13K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "CA-19 Primary Winners", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-19 Primary Winners" es "Jimmy Panetta" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Peter Verbica" con 66%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-19 Primary Winners" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.