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icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 50.6%

Marco Rubio 18.5%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,516,302 Vol.

J.D. Vance 50.6%

Marco Rubio 18.5%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,516,302 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$15,607,564 Vol.

51%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$10,597,076 Vol.

19%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$13,776,579 Vol.

4%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$15,507,141 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$9,544,103 Vol.

2%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$19,356,307 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$9,650,161 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,559,345 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$6,098,666 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$13,951,575 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$9,352,608 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$8,717,056 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$17,935,730 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$20,265,052 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$6,764,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$16,107,234 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16,828,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$44,417,441 Vol.

<1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$28,949,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,529,522 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$22,921,814 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$661,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$10,382,951 Vol.

<1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$20,713,177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$27,988,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$37,619,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$43,688,497 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$32,957,660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$28,562,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$10,366,836 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$8,926,890 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$1,571,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$432,338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$34,430,303 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$30,418,525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$20,389,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$38,164,736 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$18,944,699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$523,415 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$865,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$721,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$750,557 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. trade near parity in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination market, reflecting a tight contest shaped by Vance’s incumbency advantage as the sitting vice president and his recent keynote address at the party’s midterm convention in Dallas, where attendees chanted his name and signaled enthusiasm for continuity with the Trump-aligned base. Kennedy’s near-even pricing stems from his established profile within segments of the coalition focused on health policy and outsider appeal, sustaining trader interest despite his public statements declining interest in a run. Marco Rubio sits well behind at roughly one-third the leaders’ levels, consistent with his positioning as a more traditional alternative that has yet to consolidate broader support. The November 2026 midterms and any subsequent positioning by party figures represent near-term catalysts that could shift the balance before formal primary activity begins.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$703,516,302
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. trade near parity in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination market, reflecting a tight contest shaped by Vance’s incumbency advantage as the sitting vice president and his recent keynote address at the party’s midterm convention in Dallas, where attendees chanted his name and signaled enthusiasm for continuity with the Trump-aligned base. Kennedy’s near-even pricing stems from his established profile within segments of the coalition focused on health policy and outsider appeal, sustaining trader interest despite his public statements declining interest in a run. Marco Rubio sits well behind at roughly one-third the leaders’ levels, consistent with his positioning as a more traditional alternative that has yet to consolidate broader support. The November 2026 midterms and any subsequent positioning by party figures represent near-term catalysts that could shift the balance before formal primary activity begins.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$703,516,302
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 42+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 51%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $703.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 42+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.