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icon for Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles
Política·LA

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

icon for Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles
Política·LA

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Polymarket

$13,811,483 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,811,483 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$982,989 Vol.

63%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$1,682,155 Vol.

36%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a lead in the November 3 runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman, reflecting trader assessments of her broader support across Latino-majority neighborhoods and stronger fundraising. Bass advanced from the June primary with 34 percent amid a crowded field that included Republican Spencer Pratt, who Raman overtook in late mail-ballot counting to reach the top-two contest. Recent weeks have featured an advertising surge on both sides highlighting homelessness services, housing costs, and accountability at the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority, where the candidates diverge on shifting control to City Hall. Raman has secured endorsements from the Democratic Socialists of America and several labor groups while internal polls show her competitive or slightly ahead in some surveys, though Bass retains structural advantages as the sitting mayor facing a progressive challenger from the left.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$13,811,483
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a lead in the November 3 runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman, reflecting trader assessments of her broader support across Latino-majority neighborhoods and stronger fundraising. Bass advanced from the June primary with 34 percent amid a crowded field that included Republican Spencer Pratt, who Raman overtook in late mail-ballot counting to reach the top-two contest. Recent weeks have featured an advertising surge on both sides highlighting homelessness services, housing costs, and accountability at the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority, where the candidates diverge on shifting control to City Hall. Raman has secured endorsements from the Democratic Socialists of America and several labor groups while internal polls show her competitive or slightly ahead in some surveys, though Bass retains structural advantages as the sitting mayor facing a progressive challenger from the left.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$13,811,483
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Karen Bass" con 63%, seguido de "Nithya Raman" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" ha generado $13.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es "Karen Bass" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nithya Raman" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.