Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a state with a consistent Republican voting record in Senate contests. Trader consensus reflects this positioning at 59 percent for the Republican outcome. Independent Dan Osborn, who ran a competitive race in 2024, advances as the main challenger after Democratic primary developments led to consolidation of support behind his independent bid. This has lifted the independent share to 40.5 percent amid recent polls showing the matchup as close or with Ricketts narrowly ahead. The Democrat outcome sits at 2.9 percent given the party's limited organizational footprint and expected strategic alignment elsewhere.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRepublicano 59%
Independiente 41%
Demócrata 2.9%
$132,771 Vol.
$132,771 Vol.

Republicano
59%

Independiente
41%

Demócrata
3%
Republicano 59%
Independiente 41%
Demócrata 2.9%
$132,771 Vol.
$132,771 Vol.

Republicano
59%

Independiente
41%

Demócrata
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a state with a consistent Republican voting record in Senate contests. Trader consensus reflects this positioning at 59 percent for the Republican outcome. Independent Dan Osborn, who ran a competitive race in 2024, advances as the main challenger after Democratic primary developments led to consolidation of support behind his independent bid. This has lifted the independent share to 40.5 percent amid recent polls showing the matchup as close or with Ricketts narrowly ahead. The Democrat outcome sits at 2.9 percent given the party's limited organizational footprint and expected strategic alignment elsewhere.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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