Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic Prince George's County suburbs, maintains a consistent partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts project an approximately 78-22 Democratic margin, reflecting the seat's structural advantages including voter registration imbalances and historical results. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent extraordinary late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen national wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$45,137 Vol.
$45,137 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$45,137 Vol.
$45,137 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$19,940 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$25,197 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic Prince George's County suburbs, maintains a consistent partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts project an approximately 78-22 Democratic margin, reflecting the seat's structural advantages including voter registration imbalances and historical results. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent extraordinary late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$45,137Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic Prince George's County suburbs, maintains a consistent partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts project an approximately 78-22 Democratic margin, reflecting the seat's structural advantages including voter registration imbalances and historical results. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent extraordinary late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$45,137Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic Prince George's County suburbs, maintains a consistent partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts project an approximately 78-22 Democratic margin, reflecting the seat's structural advantages including voter registration imbalances and historical results. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent extraordinary late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen national wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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