Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district race ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs of Washington, D.C., delivered Ivey more than 88 percent of the vote in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 79 percent against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic based on historical results, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability disruptions such as late scandals, health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan shift remain possible before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$47,101 Vol.
$47,101 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Glenn Ivey (D)
97%
George McDermott (R)
<1%
$47,101 Vol.
$47,101 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Glenn Ivey (D)
$21,397 Vol.
97%
George McDermott (R)
$25,705 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district race ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs of Washington, D.C., delivered Ivey more than 88 percent of the vote in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 79 percent against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic based on historical results, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability disruptions such as late scandals, health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan shift remain possible before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$47,101Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district race ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs of Washington, D.C., delivered Ivey more than 88 percent of the vote in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 79 percent against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic based on historical results, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability disruptions such as late scandals, health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan shift remain possible before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$47,101Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district race ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs of Washington, D.C., delivered Ivey more than 88 percent of the vote in 2024 and carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 79 percent against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic based on historical results, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability disruptions such as late scandals, health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan shift remain possible before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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