Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% to 5.5% for the Republican. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58.2% of the vote in a district rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 23 primaries feature Olszewski facing one Democratic challenger and two Republicans competing for their nomination ahead of the November general election. No major recent developments, such as candidate withdrawals, polling shifts, or national political events, have altered the district's established partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national wave election or significant local disruption to overcome the structural advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,466 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$2,181 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% to 5.5% for the Republican. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58.2% of the vote in a district rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 23 primaries feature Olszewski facing one Democratic challenger and two Republicans competing for their nomination ahead of the November general election. No major recent developments, such as candidate withdrawals, polling shifts, or national political events, have altered the district's established partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national wave election or significant local disruption to overcome the structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,647Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% to 5.5% for the Republican. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58.2% of the vote in a district rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 23 primaries feature Olszewski facing one Democratic challenger and two Republicans competing for their nomination ahead of the November general election. No major recent developments, such as candidate withdrawals, polling shifts, or national political events, have altered the district's established partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national wave election or significant local disruption to overcome the structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,647Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% to 5.5% for the Republican. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58.2% of the vote in a district rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 23 primaries feature Olszewski facing one Democratic challenger and two Republicans competing for their nomination ahead of the November general election. No major recent developments, such as candidate withdrawals, polling shifts, or national political events, have altered the district's established partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national wave election or significant local disruption to overcome the structural advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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