Missouri's 5th congressional district race features Republican candidates favored by trader consensus at 72.5% due to the 2025 redistricting map signed by Governor Mike Kehoe, which shifted the Kansas City-based seat from a Democratic stronghold to one leaning heavily Republican by adding rural counties eastward. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring candidates including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Sean Smith ahead of the November general election. A citizen referendum on the map, with signatures already gathered for the 2026 ballot, introduces procedural uncertainty that could restore prior boundaries if approved, though most forecasters rate the seat as a likely Republican flip under current lines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
57%
Partido Demócrata
52%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,729 Vol.
57%
Partido Demócrata
$1,171 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race features Republican candidates favored by trader consensus at 72.5% due to the 2025 redistricting map signed by Governor Mike Kehoe, which shifted the Kansas City-based seat from a Democratic stronghold to one leaning heavily Republican by adding rural counties eastward. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring candidates including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Sean Smith ahead of the November general election. A citizen referendum on the map, with signatures already gathered for the 2026 ballot, introduces procedural uncertainty that could restore prior boundaries if approved, though most forecasters rate the seat as a likely Republican flip under current lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$2,901Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race features Republican candidates favored by trader consensus at 72.5% due to the 2025 redistricting map signed by Governor Mike Kehoe, which shifted the Kansas City-based seat from a Democratic stronghold to one leaning heavily Republican by adding rural counties eastward. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring candidates including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Sean Smith ahead of the November general election. A citizen referendum on the map, with signatures already gathered for the 2026 ballot, introduces procedural uncertainty that could restore prior boundaries if approved, though most forecasters rate the seat as a likely Republican flip under current lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,901Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 5th congressional district race features Republican candidates favored by trader consensus at 72.5% due to the 2025 redistricting map signed by Governor Mike Kehoe, which shifted the Kansas City-based seat from a Democratic stronghold to one leaning heavily Republican by adding rural counties eastward. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring candidates including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Sean Smith ahead of the November general election. A citizen referendum on the map, with signatures already gathered for the 2026 ballot, introduces procedural uncertainty that could restore prior boundaries if approved, though most forecasters rate the seat as a likely Republican flip under current lines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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