**The Democratic nominee holds a strong edge in Missouri’s 5th congressional district due to the recent reversal of Republican-backed redistricting.** Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. A Missouri Supreme Court ruling in early September restored the prior district lines after litigation over a mid-decade map that had shifted the Kansas City-area seat toward Republican territory. Forecasters had previously rated the race Solid Republican under the new boundaries, but the restored map aligns more closely with the district’s historical Democratic performance. General-election voting occurs November 3, with limited polling available so far. Trader consensus on the party outcome reflects these map-driven dynamics and Cleaver’s incumbency advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$19,289 Vol.
$19,289 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
78%
Partido Republicano
20%
$19,289 Vol.
$19,289 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,436 Vol.
78%
Partido Republicano
$12,853 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The Democratic nominee holds a strong edge in Missouri’s 5th congressional district due to the recent reversal of Republican-backed redistricting.**
Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. A Missouri Supreme Court ruling in early September restored the prior district lines after litigation over a mid-decade map that had shifted the Kansas City-area seat toward Republican territory. Forecasters had previously rated the race Solid Republican under the new boundaries, but the restored map aligns more closely with the district’s historical Democratic performance. General-election voting occurs November 3, with limited polling available so far. Trader consensus on the party outcome reflects these map-driven dynamics and Cleaver’s incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$19,289Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The Democratic nominee holds a strong edge in Missouri’s 5th congressional district due to the recent reversal of Republican-backed redistricting.**
Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. A Missouri Supreme Court ruling in early September restored the prior district lines after litigation over a mid-decade map that had shifted the Kansas City-area seat toward Republican territory. Forecasters had previously rated the race Solid Republican under the new boundaries, but the restored map aligns more closely with the district’s historical Democratic performance. General-election voting occurs November 3, with limited polling available so far. Trader consensus on the party outcome reflects these map-driven dynamics and Cleaver’s incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,289Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Democratic nominee holds a strong edge in Missouri’s 5th congressional district due to the recent reversal of Republican-backed redistricting.** Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. A Missouri Supreme Court ruling in early September restored the prior district lines after litigation over a mid-decade map that had shifted the Kansas City-area seat toward Republican territory. Forecasters had previously rated the race Solid Republican under the new boundaries, but the restored map aligns more closely with the district’s historical Democratic performance. General-election voting occurs November 3, with limited polling available so far. Trader consensus on the party outcome reflects these map-driven dynamics and Cleaver’s incumbency advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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