Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$22,456 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$5,555 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$28,012Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,012Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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