Flávio Bolsonaro holds dominant positioning for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote due to his role as the Liberal Party nominee and standard-bearer for the Bolsonaro-aligned opposition. Recent polls show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent, while Flávio trails in the high 20s to low 30s, leaving the remaining field fragmented among candidates such as Renan Santos and others below 5 percent. A May 2026 audio scandal linking Flávio to a banking figure temporarily pressured his numbers and rejection ratings, yet trader consensus continues to view him as the clearest alternative to Lula, with limited evidence of other contenders closing the gap before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlávio Bolsonaro 81%
Renan Santos 8.7%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7.6%
Camilo Santana 1.2%
$4,379,908 Vol.
$4,379,908 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
81%
Renan Santos
9%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
8%
Camilo Santana
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Fernando Haddad
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Romeu Zema
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 81%
Renan Santos 8.7%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7.6%
Camilo Santana 1.2%
$4,379,908 Vol.
$4,379,908 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$216,558 Vol.
81%
Renan Santos
$1,088,330 Vol.
9%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$143,179 Vol.
8%
Camilo Santana
$96,158 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$340,811 Vol.
1%
Fernando Haddad
$686,696 Vol.
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$120,458 Vol.
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$190,265 Vol.
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$122,419 Vol.
<1%
Romeu Zema
$291,054 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$35,428 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$95,334 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$55,913 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$663,226 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$148,185 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$64,933 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$20,960 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds dominant positioning for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote due to his role as the Liberal Party nominee and standard-bearer for the Bolsonaro-aligned opposition. Recent polls show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent, while Flávio trails in the high 20s to low 30s, leaving the remaining field fragmented among candidates such as Renan Santos and others below 5 percent. A May 2026 audio scandal linking Flávio to a banking figure temporarily pressured his numbers and rejection ratings, yet trader consensus continues to view him as the clearest alternative to Lula, with limited evidence of other contenders closing the gap before the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$4,379,908Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds dominant positioning for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote due to his role as the Liberal Party nominee and standard-bearer for the Bolsonaro-aligned opposition. Recent polls show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent, while Flávio trails in the high 20s to low 30s, leaving the remaining field fragmented among candidates such as Renan Santos and others below 5 percent. A May 2026 audio scandal linking Flávio to a banking figure temporarily pressured his numbers and rejection ratings, yet trader consensus continues to view him as the clearest alternative to Lula, with limited evidence of other contenders closing the gap before the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$4,379,908Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro holds dominant positioning for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote due to his role as the Liberal Party nominee and standard-bearer for the Bolsonaro-aligned opposition. Recent polls show incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent, while Flávio trails in the high 20s to low 30s, leaving the remaining field fragmented among candidates such as Renan Santos and others below 5 percent. A May 2026 audio scandal linking Flávio to a banking figure temporarily pressured his numbers and rejection ratings, yet trader consensus continues to view him as the clearest alternative to Lula, with limited evidence of other contenders closing the gap before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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