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Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar

Flávio Bolsonaro 81%

Renan Santos 8.5%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8.3%

Camilo Santana 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,747 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 81%

Renan Santos 8.5%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8.3%

Camilo Santana 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,747 Vol.

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$216,831 Vol.

81%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$1,088,345 Vol.

9%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$143,199 Vol.

8%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$96,192 Vol.

1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$686,706 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$340,826 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$120,630 Vol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$190,280 Vol.

1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$122,434 Vol.

<1%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$291,121 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$95,371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$55,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$663,226 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$148,331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$64,943 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$20,960 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$35,428 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest trader consensus for second place in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election due to his established profile within the opposition and the Bolsonaro political network. Multiple other names, including Renan Santos, incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and Fernando Haddad, trade at single-digit levels amid a crowded field of potential challengers. With no major verified developments in the past 30 days altering candidate eligibility, party alignments, or polling trends, current pricing reflects the market's assessment of name recognition, regional support bases, and the absence of a dominant alternative opposition figure. Scheduled party conventions and primary processes later this year remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift positioning before the October vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$4,380,747
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest trader consensus for second place in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election due to his established profile within the opposition and the Bolsonaro political network. Multiple other names, including Renan Santos, incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and Fernando Haddad, trade at single-digit levels amid a crowded field of potential challengers. With no major verified developments in the past 30 days altering candidate eligibility, party alignments, or polling trends, current pricing reflects the market's assessment of name recognition, regional support bases, and the absence of a dominant alternative opposition figure. Scheduled party conventions and primary processes later this year remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift positioning before the October vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$4,380,747
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Relacionado

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64%
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icon for ¿Ganará Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva la elección presidencial brasileña de 2026?

¿Ganará Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva la elección presidencial brasileña de 2026?

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icon for ¿Algún candidato presidencial ganará en la primera vuelta de las elecciones de Brasil?

¿Algún candidato presidencial ganará en la primera vuelta de las elecciones de Brasil?

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Flávio Bolsonaro" con 81%, seguido de "Renan Santos" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar" ha generado $4.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar" es "Flávio Bolsonaro" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Renan Santos" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 2º lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.