Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because he has consolidated the main right-wing candidacy under the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro was ruled ineligible. Recent party conventions and polling averages place him as the clear conservative standard-bearer behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with limited fragmentation among other right-leaning names. Minor-party nominees such as Renan Santos remain distant in surveys, while Lula’s expected first-place finish leaves the runner-up slot largely uncontested on the opposition side. Scandals involving audio leaks have dented Flávio’s numbers modestly but have not altered the structural consolidation of conservative support ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlávio Bolsonaro 81%
Renan Santos 8.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8.3%
Camilo Santana 1.2%
$4,380,500 Vol.
$4,380,500 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro
81%

Renan Santos
8%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
8%

Camilo Santana
1%

Fernando Haddad
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Romeu Zema
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 81%
Renan Santos 8.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8.3%
Camilo Santana 1.2%
$4,380,500 Vol.
$4,380,500 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro
81%

Renan Santos
8%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
8%

Camilo Santana
1%

Fernando Haddad
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Romeu Zema
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because he has consolidated the main right-wing candidacy under the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro was ruled ineligible. Recent party conventions and polling averages place him as the clear conservative standard-bearer behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with limited fragmentation among other right-leaning names. Minor-party nominees such as Renan Santos remain distant in surveys, while Lula’s expected first-place finish leaves the runner-up slot largely uncontested on the opposition side. Scandals involving audio leaks have dented Flávio’s numbers modestly but have not altered the structural consolidation of conservative support ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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