Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: margen de victoria
Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: margen de victoria
Lula da Silva 5-10% 31%
Lula da Silva <5% 30%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5% 19%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10% 7.8%
$11,015 Vol.
$11,015 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula da Silva 15%+
1%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
3%
Lula da Silva 5-10%
31%
Lula da Silva <5%
30%
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+
6%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
8%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
19%
Victoria de Renan Santos
4%
Victoria de Tarcisio de Freitas
2%
Victoria de Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Otro
6%
Lula da Silva 5-10% 31%
Lula da Silva <5% 30%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5% 19%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10% 7.8%
$11,015 Vol.
$11,015 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula da Silva 15%+
$2,951 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
$1,048 Vol.
3%
Lula da Silva 5-10%
$1,406 Vol.
31%
Lula da Silva <5%
$1,152 Vol.
30%
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+
$595 Vol.
6%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
$547 Vol.
8%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
$855 Vol.
19%
Victoria de Renan Santos
$669 Vol.
4%
Victoria de Tarcisio de Freitas
$463 Vol.
2%
Victoria de Ratinho Júnior
$577 Vol.
<1%
Otro
$753 Vol.
6%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volumen
$11,015Fecha de finalización
Oct 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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