The high trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027 stems primarily from Brazil’s unbroken historical record of no successful removals, combined with the Senate’s consistent practice of shelving petitions despite repeated filings. A two-thirds Senate vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats creates a steep barrier, reinforced by President Lula’s congressional allies and Senate leadership that has declined to advance cases. December 2025 procedural adjustments further raised standing requirements and limited initial filings. While the 2026 general elections could alter Senate composition and test these protections, any path to removal would still require sustained bipartisan momentum and resolution of internal court challenges within the narrow remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$82,764 Vol.
$82,764 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$82,764 Vol.
$82,764 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027 stems primarily from Brazil’s unbroken historical record of no successful removals, combined with the Senate’s consistent practice of shelving petitions despite repeated filings. A two-thirds Senate vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats creates a steep barrier, reinforced by President Lula’s congressional allies and Senate leadership that has declined to advance cases. December 2025 procedural adjustments further raised standing requirements and limited initial filings. While the 2026 general elections could alter Senate composition and test these protections, any path to removal would still require sustained bipartisan momentum and resolution of internal court challenges within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volumen
$82,764Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027 stems primarily from Brazil’s unbroken historical record of no successful removals, combined with the Senate’s consistent practice of shelving petitions despite repeated filings. A two-thirds Senate vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats creates a steep barrier, reinforced by President Lula’s congressional allies and Senate leadership that has declined to advance cases. December 2025 procedural adjustments further raised standing requirements and limited initial filings. While the 2026 general elections could alter Senate composition and test these protections, any path to removal would still require sustained bipartisan momentum and resolution of internal court challenges within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$82,764Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027 stems primarily from Brazil’s unbroken historical record of no successful removals, combined with the Senate’s consistent practice of shelving petitions despite repeated filings. A two-thirds Senate vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats creates a steep barrier, reinforced by President Lula’s congressional allies and Senate leadership that has declined to advance cases. December 2025 procedural adjustments further raised standing requirements and limited initial filings. While the 2026 general elections could alter Senate composition and test these protections, any path to removal would still require sustained bipartisan momentum and resolution of internal court challenges within the narrow remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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