Brazil's Senate has historically shielded STF justices from removal despite numerous impeachment petitions, including recent filings against Alexandre de Moraes and recommendations from the 2026 Banco Master congressional inquiry targeting Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. The process requires broad legislative majorities and faces procedural safeguards, with the court itself reviewing tighter standing rules in late 2025 amid anticipation of post-election Senate shifts. No justice has been removed in modern history, and current political alignments under the Lula administration reinforce institutional stability through 2027. A decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections or a major verified scandal could still open pathways, though both remain distant from immediate resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
4% probabilidad
$83,766 Vol.
$83,766 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
4% probabilidad
$83,766 Vol.
$83,766 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has historically shielded STF justices from removal despite numerous impeachment petitions, including recent filings against Alexandre de Moraes and recommendations from the 2026 Banco Master congressional inquiry targeting Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. The process requires broad legislative majorities and faces procedural safeguards, with the court itself reviewing tighter standing rules in late 2025 amid anticipation of post-election Senate shifts. No justice has been removed in modern history, and current political alignments under the Lula administration reinforce institutional stability through 2027. A decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections or a major verified scandal could still open pathways, though both remain distant from immediate resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volumen
$83,766Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has historically shielded STF justices from removal despite numerous impeachment petitions, including recent filings against Alexandre de Moraes and recommendations from the 2026 Banco Master congressional inquiry targeting Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. The process requires broad legislative majorities and faces procedural safeguards, with the court itself reviewing tighter standing rules in late 2025 amid anticipation of post-election Senate shifts. No justice has been removed in modern history, and current political alignments under the Lula administration reinforce institutional stability through 2027. A decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections or a major verified scandal could still open pathways, though both remain distant from immediate resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$83,766Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has historically shielded STF justices from removal despite numerous impeachment petitions, including recent filings against Alexandre de Moraes and recommendations from the 2026 Banco Master congressional inquiry targeting Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. The process requires broad legislative majorities and faces procedural safeguards, with the court itself reviewing tighter standing rules in late 2025 amid anticipation of post-election Senate shifts. No justice has been removed in modern history, and current political alignments under the Lula administration reinforce institutional stability through 2027. A decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections or a major verified scandal could still open pathways, though both remain distant from immediate resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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