Brazilian Senate rules require a qualified two-thirds majority to advance impeachment proceedings against Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices for crimes of responsibility, a threshold current political fragmentation has prevented despite more than 100 petitions filed since 2021, primarily targeting Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Recent congressional reports on scandals such as Banco Master produced recommendations but no floor votes or openings of formal processes, while STF monitoring of upcoming Senate elections highlights that even projected 2027 compositions fall short of the votes needed. With only months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, the absence of momentum in the current Congress underpins trader consensus that removal remains improbable. Late developments such as a major scandal producing cross-party support or an unexpected Senate realignment could still open proceedings, though both face steep institutional and calendar constraints.