Recent FBI execution of search warrants on Eric Swalwell's devices and Washington home, part of a federal probe into multiple sexual misconduct allegations that prompted his April 2026 congressional resignation, has not produced charges. Parallel inquiries by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities remain active but have followed standard investigative timelines since spring, including evidence review and witness coordination. Federal and state charging decisions in complex cases typically require weeks to months beyond initial searches, with no public indicators of expedited action before the September 30 cutoff. Trader consensus on the low likelihood of charges by that date aligns with these procedural realities and the absence of imminent developments.