Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects uncertainty in the ongoing U.S. federal prosecution of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation charges in New York, where he has been detained since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces. The tight race between 60+ months (35.5%) and no prison time (32%) stems from pre-trial hurdles, including a failed motion to dismiss over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense—resolved April 25 when the U.S. eased restrictions, potentially enabling a stronger legal team or plea deal. Recent offers from co-defendant ex-spy chief Hugo Carvajal to testify against Maduro bolster prosecution prospects, while no trial date is set, leaving room for diplomatic interventions, immunity challenges, or acquittal. A guilty plea, key witness credibility, or procedural rulings could widen the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Hora de prisión de Maduro?
¿Hora de prisión de Maduro?
60+ 36%
Sin tiempo en prisión 32%
40–60 16%
20–40 9.3%
$498,608 Vol.
$498,608 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sin tiempo en prisión
32%
<20
5%
20–40
9%
40–60
16%
60+
36%
60+ 36%
Sin tiempo en prisión 32%
40–60 16%
20–40 9.3%
$498,608 Vol.
$498,608 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sin tiempo en prisión
$367,875 Vol.
32%
<20
$36,606 Vol.
5%
20–40
$47,530 Vol.
9%
40–60
$14,916 Vol.
16%
60+
$31,681 Vol.
36%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects uncertainty in the ongoing U.S. federal prosecution of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation charges in New York, where he has been detained since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces. The tight race between 60+ months (35.5%) and no prison time (32%) stems from pre-trial hurdles, including a failed motion to dismiss over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense—resolved April 25 when the U.S. eased restrictions, potentially enabling a stronger legal team or plea deal. Recent offers from co-defendant ex-spy chief Hugo Carvajal to testify against Maduro bolster prosecution prospects, while no trial date is set, leaving room for diplomatic interventions, immunity challenges, or acquittal. A guilty plea, key witness credibility, or procedural rulings could widen the spread.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Volumen
$498,608Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects uncertainty in the ongoing U.S. federal prosecution of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation charges in New York, where he has been detained since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces. The tight race between 60+ months (35.5%) and no prison time (32%) stems from pre-trial hurdles, including a failed motion to dismiss over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense—resolved April 25 when the U.S. eased restrictions, potentially enabling a stronger legal team or plea deal. Recent offers from co-defendant ex-spy chief Hugo Carvajal to testify against Maduro bolster prosecution prospects, while no trial date is set, leaving room for diplomatic interventions, immunity challenges, or acquittal. A guilty plea, key witness credibility, or procedural rulings could widen the spread.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$498,608Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects uncertainty in the ongoing U.S. federal prosecution of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation charges in New York, where he has been detained since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces. The tight race between 60+ months (35.5%) and no prison time (32%) stems from pre-trial hurdles, including a failed motion to dismiss over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense—resolved April 25 when the U.S. eased restrictions, potentially enabling a stronger legal team or plea deal. Recent offers from co-defendant ex-spy chief Hugo Carvajal to testify against Maduro bolster prosecution prospects, while no trial date is set, leaving room for diplomatic interventions, immunity challenges, or acquittal. A guilty plea, key witness credibility, or procedural rulings could widen the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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