Trader consensus implies an 88.5% probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, driven by his entrenched control following the March 2024 election securing a term until 2030, enabled by 2020 constitutional amendments resetting prior term limits. No verified political or health developments signal an early exit; persistent but unsubstantiated rumors of illness, including a March coughing episode and brief February absence, have failed to gain traction amid regular public appearances. Recent Kremlin responses to economic strains and potential attendance at the December G20 summit in Miami underscore continuity, with ongoing Ukraine conflict reinforcing regime stability despite domestic discontent over internet restrictions and inflation. Low odds of "Yes" hinge on unlikely scenarios like sudden elite defection or health crisis before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Putin como presidente de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Putin como presidente de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
Sí
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus implies an 88.5% probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, driven by his entrenched control following the March 2024 election securing a term until 2030, enabled by 2020 constitutional amendments resetting prior term limits. No verified political or health developments signal an early exit; persistent but unsubstantiated rumors of illness, including a March coughing episode and brief February absence, have failed to gain traction amid regular public appearances. Recent Kremlin responses to economic strains and potential attendance at the December G20 summit in Miami underscore continuity, with ongoing Ukraine conflict reinforcing regime stability despite domestic discontent over internet restrictions and inflation. Low odds of "Yes" hinge on unlikely scenarios like sudden elite defection or health crisis before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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