United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to structural dominance in Russia's party system, including control over candidate registration, media access, and regional electoral machinery that has consistently delivered supermajorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, such as 2025 leadership restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, incorporation of security and military figures into the party list, and primaries emphasizing continuity, have further consolidated its organizational edge ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects these institutional factors over fluctuating poll numbers. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain limited to major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt shifts in the ongoing conflict or severe economic shocks capable of eroding turnout or elite cohesion within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRusia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Gente Nueva (NL) 1.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
$2,888,124 Vol.
$2,888,124 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
97%
Gente Nueva (NL)
1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Gente Nueva (NL) 1.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
$2,888,124 Vol.
$2,888,124 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$718,558 Vol.
97%
Gente Nueva (NL)
$115,292 Vol.
1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$132,321 Vol.
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
$160,254 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$482,341 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$580,599 Vol.
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$698,760 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to structural dominance in Russia's party system, including control over candidate registration, media access, and regional electoral machinery that has consistently delivered supermajorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, such as 2025 leadership restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, incorporation of security and military figures into the party list, and primaries emphasizing continuity, have further consolidated its organizational edge ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects these institutional factors over fluctuating poll numbers. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain limited to major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt shifts in the ongoing conflict or severe economic shocks capable of eroding turnout or elite cohesion within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$2,888,124Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to structural dominance in Russia's party system, including control over candidate registration, media access, and regional electoral machinery that has consistently delivered supermajorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, such as 2025 leadership restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, incorporation of security and military figures into the party list, and primaries emphasizing continuity, have further consolidated its organizational edge ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects these institutional factors over fluctuating poll numbers. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain limited to major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt shifts in the ongoing conflict or severe economic shocks capable of eroding turnout or elite cohesion within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$2,888,124Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to structural dominance in Russia's party system, including control over candidate registration, media access, and regional electoral machinery that has consistently delivered supermajorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, such as 2025 leadership restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, incorporation of security and military figures into the party list, and primaries emphasizing continuity, have further consolidated its organizational edge ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects these institutional factors over fluctuating poll numbers. Scenarios that could realistically alter outcomes remain limited to major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt shifts in the ongoing conflict or severe economic shocks capable of eroding turnout or elite cohesion within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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