United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party aligned with President Putin, extensive institutional control over the electoral process, and suppression of independent opposition figures. Preparations have included party restructuring, placement of pro-war candidates including military veterans on the federal list, and managed campaigning amid wartime conditions. Other registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People function within systemic limits that preclude serious challenges to the majority. Realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments like elite fractures, dramatic military reversals, or widespread public mobilization before the vote, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRusia Unida (ER) 98.0%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
$2,918,888 Vol.
$2,918,888 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
98%
Gente Nueva (NL)
1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Partido A
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 98.0%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
$2,918,888 Vol.
$2,918,888 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$722,047 Vol.
98%
Gente Nueva (NL)
$115,464 Vol.
1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$133,308 Vol.
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
$164,522 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$584,412 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$484,212 Vol.
<1%
Partido A
$4,583 Vol.
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$710,340 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party aligned with President Putin, extensive institutional control over the electoral process, and suppression of independent opposition figures. Preparations have included party restructuring, placement of pro-war candidates including military veterans on the federal list, and managed campaigning amid wartime conditions. Other registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People function within systemic limits that preclude serious challenges to the majority. Realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments like elite fractures, dramatic military reversals, or widespread public mobilization before the vote, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$2,918,888Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party aligned with President Putin, extensive institutional control over the electoral process, and suppression of independent opposition figures. Preparations have included party restructuring, placement of pro-war candidates including military veterans on the federal list, and managed campaigning amid wartime conditions. Other registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People function within systemic limits that preclude serious challenges to the majority. Realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments like elite fractures, dramatic military reversals, or widespread public mobilization before the vote, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$2,918,888Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party aligned with President Putin, extensive institutional control over the electoral process, and suppression of independent opposition figures. Preparations have included party restructuring, placement of pro-war candidates including military veterans on the federal list, and managed campaigning amid wartime conditions. Other registered parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People function within systemic limits that preclude serious challenges to the majority. Realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments like elite fractures, dramatic military reversals, or widespread public mobilization before the vote, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
44%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) la mayor cantidad de escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
70%
Sí
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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