United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRusia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Gente Nueva (NL) 1.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
$2,886,749 Vol.
$2,886,749 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
97%
Gente Nueva (NL)
1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Gente Nueva (NL) 1.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
$2,886,749 Vol.
$2,886,749 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$718,558 Vol.
97%
Gente Nueva (NL)
$115,292 Vol.
1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$132,315 Vol.
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
$160,254 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$482,340 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$580,595 Vol.
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$697,395 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$2,886,749Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$2,886,749Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) la mayor cantidad de escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
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Sí
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