United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, state media dominance, and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers. Voting begins September 18 across 225 single-member districts and proportional lists, with authorities having barred the sole anti-war party, Yabloko, on technical grounds while registering only aligned systemic options such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia. Pro-government polling indicates United Russia support near 35 percent among decided voters, yet the mixed electoral system and regional control historically deliver seat majorities exceeding 60 percent. The Kremlin has adjusted targets downward amid war fatigue and economic pressures, but structural advantages and limited genuine competition sustain the party’s position. Shifts in battlefield developments or sudden elite realignments remain the primary variables that could still influence final seat allocation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Rusia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Rusia
Rusia Unida (ER) 99.3%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP) <1%
$3,859,707 Vol.
$3,859,707 Vol.
29 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
99%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
1%
Gente Nueva (NL)
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 99.3%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP) <1%
$3,859,707 Vol.
$3,859,707 Vol.
29 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$1,286,919 Vol.
99%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$218,520 Vol.
1%
Gente Nueva (NL)
$173,243 Vol.
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$742,262 Vol.
<1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$70,405 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, state media dominance, and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers. Voting begins September 18 across 225 single-member districts and proportional lists, with authorities having barred the sole anti-war party, Yabloko, on technical grounds while registering only aligned systemic options such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia. Pro-government polling indicates United Russia support near 35 percent among decided voters, yet the mixed electoral system and regional control historically deliver seat majorities exceeding 60 percent. The Kremlin has adjusted targets downward amid war fatigue and economic pressures, but structural advantages and limited genuine competition sustain the party’s position. Shifts in battlefield developments or sudden elite realignments remain the primary variables that could still influence final seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$3,859,707Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, state media dominance, and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers. Voting begins September 18 across 225 single-member districts and proportional lists, with authorities having barred the sole anti-war party, Yabloko, on technical grounds while registering only aligned systemic options such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia. Pro-government polling indicates United Russia support near 35 percent among decided voters, yet the mixed electoral system and regional control historically deliver seat majorities exceeding 60 percent. The Kremlin has adjusted targets downward amid war fatigue and economic pressures, but structural advantages and limited genuine competition sustain the party’s position. Shifts in battlefield developments or sudden elite realignments remain the primary variables that could still influence final seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$3,859,707Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, state media dominance, and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers. Voting begins September 18 across 225 single-member districts and proportional lists, with authorities having barred the sole anti-war party, Yabloko, on technical grounds while registering only aligned systemic options such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia. Pro-government polling indicates United Russia support near 35 percent among decided voters, yet the mixed electoral system and regional control historically deliver seat majorities exceeding 60 percent. The Kremlin has adjusted targets downward amid war fatigue and economic pressures, but structural advantages and limited genuine competition sustain the party’s position. Shifts in battlefield developments or sudden elite realignments remain the primary variables that could still influence final seat allocation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Obtendrá Nuevas Personas (NL) la cuarta mayor cantidad de escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
53%
Sí
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
58%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
93%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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