The open Michigan Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Gary Peters' retirement announcement, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 between Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, with El-Sayed leading recent surveys and endorsements. Republican Mike Rogers, seeking the nomination after his narrow 2024 general election loss, faces a general election matchup on November 3 where early hypothetical polling shows Democratic nominees holding modest leads. Traders assign a 68.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, reflecting Michigan's recent voting patterns in Senate contests, the state's slight Democratic tilt in federal races, and the strength of the Democratic candidate pool relative to the Republican field. Key variables ahead include primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics in this swing state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
$117,168 Vol.
$117,168 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
70%
Republicano
28%
$117,168 Vol.
$117,168 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$83,215 Vol.
70%
Republicano
$33,958 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Gary Peters' retirement announcement, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 between Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, with El-Sayed leading recent surveys and endorsements. Republican Mike Rogers, seeking the nomination after his narrow 2024 general election loss, faces a general election matchup on November 3 where early hypothetical polling shows Democratic nominees holding modest leads. Traders assign a 68.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, reflecting Michigan's recent voting patterns in Senate contests, the state's slight Democratic tilt in federal races, and the strength of the Democratic candidate pool relative to the Republican field. Key variables ahead include primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics in this swing state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$117,168Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Gary Peters' retirement announcement, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 between Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, with El-Sayed leading recent surveys and endorsements. Republican Mike Rogers, seeking the nomination after his narrow 2024 general election loss, faces a general election matchup on November 3 where early hypothetical polling shows Democratic nominees holding modest leads. Traders assign a 68.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, reflecting Michigan's recent voting patterns in Senate contests, the state's slight Democratic tilt in federal races, and the strength of the Democratic candidate pool relative to the Republican field. Key variables ahead include primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics in this swing state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$117,168Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Gary Peters' retirement announcement, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 between Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, with El-Sayed leading recent surveys and endorsements. Republican Mike Rogers, seeking the nomination after his narrow 2024 general election loss, faces a general election matchup on November 3 where early hypothetical polling shows Democratic nominees holding modest leads. Traders assign a 68.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, reflecting Michigan's recent voting patterns in Senate contests, the state's slight Democratic tilt in federal races, and the strength of the Democratic candidate pool relative to the Republican field. Key variables ahead include primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics in this swing state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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