The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, shapes current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination path after his narrow 2024 loss, while the Democratic primary on August 4 features a competitive field of Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed. Recent June polling shows general-election matchups as tight toss-ups, with Democratic nominees leading Rogers by 1–7 points depending on the pairing, consistent with Michigan's status as a swing state where Donald Trump prevailed narrowly in the prior presidential contest. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as highly competitive, with limited recent catalysts beyond primary fundraising and endorsements. The implied probability favoring a Democratic winner reflects the structural advantages of defending an open seat in this environment, tempered by the narrow historical margins and uncertain primary outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
$116,765 Vol.
$116,765 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
73%
Republicano
28%
$116,765 Vol.
$116,765 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$82,910 Vol.
73%
Republicano
$33,855 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, shapes current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination path after his narrow 2024 loss, while the Democratic primary on August 4 features a competitive field of Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed. Recent June polling shows general-election matchups as tight toss-ups, with Democratic nominees leading Rogers by 1–7 points depending on the pairing, consistent with Michigan's status as a swing state where Donald Trump prevailed narrowly in the prior presidential contest. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as highly competitive, with limited recent catalysts beyond primary fundraising and endorsements. The implied probability favoring a Democratic winner reflects the structural advantages of defending an open seat in this environment, tempered by the narrow historical margins and uncertain primary outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$116,765Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, shapes current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination path after his narrow 2024 loss, while the Democratic primary on August 4 features a competitive field of Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed. Recent June polling shows general-election matchups as tight toss-ups, with Democratic nominees leading Rogers by 1–7 points depending on the pairing, consistent with Michigan's status as a swing state where Donald Trump prevailed narrowly in the prior presidential contest. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as highly competitive, with limited recent catalysts beyond primary fundraising and endorsements. The implied probability favoring a Democratic winner reflects the structural advantages of defending an open seat in this environment, tempered by the narrow historical margins and uncertain primary outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$116,765Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, shapes current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination path after his narrow 2024 loss, while the Democratic primary on August 4 features a competitive field of Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed. Recent June polling shows general-election matchups as tight toss-ups, with Democratic nominees leading Rogers by 1–7 points depending on the pairing, consistent with Michigan's status as a swing state where Donald Trump prevailed narrowly in the prior presidential contest. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as highly competitive, with limited recent catalysts beyond primary fundraising and endorsements. The implied probability favoring a Democratic winner reflects the structural advantages of defending an open seat in this environment, tempered by the narrow historical margins and uncertain primary outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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