Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending primary that highlighted his strength among progressive and younger voters in liberal strongholds. Recent September polls show him holding a narrow edge over Republican nominee Mike Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate candidate, with averages near 47-45 percent amid an open seat created by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to weigh Michigan's Democratic lean in recent Senate contests, El-Sayed's momentum, and broader party advantages against Rogers' experience and the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities for the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
$850,889 Vol.
$850,889 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
35%
$850,889 Vol.
$850,889 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$479,785 Vol.
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
$372,035 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending primary that highlighted his strength among progressive and younger voters in liberal strongholds. Recent September polls show him holding a narrow edge over Republican nominee Mike Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate candidate, with averages near 47-45 percent amid an open seat created by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to weigh Michigan's Democratic lean in recent Senate contests, El-Sayed's momentum, and broader party advantages against Rogers' experience and the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$850,889Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending primary that highlighted his strength among progressive and younger voters in liberal strongholds. Recent September polls show him holding a narrow edge over Republican nominee Mike Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate candidate, with averages near 47-45 percent amid an open seat created by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to weigh Michigan's Democratic lean in recent Senate contests, El-Sayed's momentum, and broader party advantages against Rogers' experience and the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$850,889Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending primary that highlighted his strength among progressive and younger voters in liberal strongholds. Recent September polls show him holding a narrow edge over Republican nominee Mike Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate candidate, with averages near 47-45 percent amid an open seat created by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to weigh Michigan's Democratic lean in recent Senate contests, El-Sayed's momentum, and broader party advantages against Rogers' experience and the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities for the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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