Abdul El-Sayed holds a 66.5 percent implied probability in trader consensus for the Michigan Senate seat due to his narrow but consistent lead in recent polling averages and growing momentum ahead of the November 3 election. After defeating Representative Haley Stevens in the August Democratic primary, El-Sayed has maintained edges of one to three points over former Representative Mike Rogers in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, with undecided voters and early voting patterns favoring the Democrat. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, faces an uphill path in a state where Democrats show stronger generic ballot support despite the 2024 presidential result. Decision Desk HQ's latest model assigns El-Sayed a 67 percent win chance, citing limited time for Rogers to close the gap before early ballots begin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
$850,889 Vol.
$850,889 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
34%
$850,889 Vol.
$850,889 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$479,785 Vol.
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
$371,104 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds a 66.5 percent implied probability in trader consensus for the Michigan Senate seat due to his narrow but consistent lead in recent polling averages and growing momentum ahead of the November 3 election. After defeating Representative Haley Stevens in the August Democratic primary, El-Sayed has maintained edges of one to three points over former Representative Mike Rogers in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, with undecided voters and early voting patterns favoring the Democrat. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, faces an uphill path in a state where Democrats show stronger generic ballot support despite the 2024 presidential result. Decision Desk HQ's latest model assigns El-Sayed a 67 percent win chance, citing limited time for Rogers to close the gap before early ballots begin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$850,889Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds a 66.5 percent implied probability in trader consensus for the Michigan Senate seat due to his narrow but consistent lead in recent polling averages and growing momentum ahead of the November 3 election. After defeating Representative Haley Stevens in the August Democratic primary, El-Sayed has maintained edges of one to three points over former Representative Mike Rogers in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, with undecided voters and early voting patterns favoring the Democrat. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, faces an uphill path in a state where Democrats show stronger generic ballot support despite the 2024 presidential result. Decision Desk HQ's latest model assigns El-Sayed a 67 percent win chance, citing limited time for Rogers to close the gap before early ballots begin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$850,889Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed holds a 66.5 percent implied probability in trader consensus for the Michigan Senate seat due to his narrow but consistent lead in recent polling averages and growing momentum ahead of the November 3 election. After defeating Representative Haley Stevens in the August Democratic primary, El-Sayed has maintained edges of one to three points over former Representative Mike Rogers in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, with undecided voters and early voting patterns favoring the Democrat. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, faces an uphill path in a state where Democrats show stronger generic ballot support despite the 2024 presidential result. Decision Desk HQ's latest model assigns El-Sayed a 67 percent win chance, citing limited time for Rogers to close the gap before early ballots begin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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