**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancesca Hong 43.6%
Sara Rodriguez 42%
Mandela Barnes 14%
David Crowley <1%
$99,580 Vol.
$99,580 Vol.
Francesca Hong
44%
Sara Rodriguez
42%
Mandela Barnes
14%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Francesca Hong 43.6%
Sara Rodriguez 42%
Mandela Barnes 14%
David Crowley <1%
$99,580 Vol.
$99,580 Vol.
Francesca Hong
44%
Sara Rodriguez
42%
Mandela Barnes
14%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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