The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRaquel Lyra 52%
João Campos 44%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$20,784 Vol.
$20,784 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Raquel Lyra
52%
João Campos
44%
Ivan Moraes
1%
Raquel Lyra 52%
João Campos 44%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$20,784 Vol.
$20,784 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Raquel Lyra
$8,252 Vol.
52%
João Campos
$10,900 Vol.
44%
Ivan Moraes
$1,632 Vol.
1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$20,784Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$20,784Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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