Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads recent Datafolha and Quaest polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Pernambuco with 43-47% support, placing her ahead of or tied with main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 37-44%. Lyra benefits from strong interior backing and state government resources, while Campos maintains strength in Recife and aligns with national PT figures. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. With the race in technical tie within margins of error and runoff simulations also close, trader pricing reflects polling consistency and the narrow path for any upset before the October 25 potential second round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRaquel Lyra 59%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$49,175 Vol.
$49,175 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Raquel Lyra
59%
João Campos
34%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 59%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$49,175 Vol.
$49,175 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Raquel Lyra
$23,133 Vol.
59%
João Campos
$20,683 Vol.
34%
Ivan Moraes
$5,359 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads recent Datafolha and Quaest polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Pernambuco with 43-47% support, placing her ahead of or tied with main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 37-44%. Lyra benefits from strong interior backing and state government resources, while Campos maintains strength in Recife and aligns with national PT figures. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. With the race in technical tie within margins of error and runoff simulations also close, trader pricing reflects polling consistency and the narrow path for any upset before the October 25 potential second round.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$49,175Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads recent Datafolha and Quaest polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Pernambuco with 43-47% support, placing her ahead of or tied with main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 37-44%. Lyra benefits from strong interior backing and state government resources, while Campos maintains strength in Recife and aligns with national PT figures. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. With the race in technical tie within margins of error and runoff simulations also close, trader pricing reflects polling consistency and the narrow path for any upset before the October 25 potential second round.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$49,175Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads recent Datafolha and Quaest polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Pernambuco with 43-47% support, placing her ahead of or tied with main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 37-44%. Lyra benefits from strong interior backing and state government resources, while Campos maintains strength in Recife and aligns with national PT figures. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. With the race in technical tie within margins of error and runoff simulations also close, trader pricing reflects polling consistency and the narrow path for any upset before the October 25 potential second round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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