With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDr. Helton 40%
Ricardo Marques 40%
Taty Cristina de Jesus 40%
Valmir de Francisquinho 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Dr. Helton
40%
Ricardo Marques
40%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
40%
Valmir de Francisquinho
40%
Fábio
38%
Emanuel Cacho
37%
Dr. Helton 40%
Ricardo Marques 40%
Taty Cristina de Jesus 40%
Valmir de Francisquinho 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Dr. Helton
$0 Vol.
40%
Ricardo Marques
$0 Vol.
40%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$0 Vol.
40%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$0 Vol.
40%
Fábio
$0 Vol.
38%
Emanuel Cacho
$69 Vol.
37%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volumen
$69Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$69Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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