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icon for Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar
Mundo·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar

icon for Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar
Mundo·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar

Renan Santos 65%

Ronaldo Caiado 16%

Flávio Bolsonaro 8.0%

Romeu Zema 4.8%

Polymarket

$476,170 Vol.

Renan Santos 65%

Ronaldo Caiado 16%

Flávio Bolsonaro 8.0%

Romeu Zema 4.8%

Polymarket

$476,170 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$157,469 Vol.

65%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$36,384 Vol.

16%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$21,696 Vol.

8%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$18,922 Vol.

5%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$9,788 Vol.

1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$99,886 Vol.

1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$18,337 Vol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$7,133 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$7,227 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$43,847 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$8,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$11,213 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$11,483 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$8,493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$8,196 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$476,170
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$476,170
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Renan Santos" con 65%, seguido de "Ronaldo Caiado" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" ha generado $476.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" es "Renan Santos" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ronaldo Caiado" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.