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icon for Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar
Elecciones·Elección Principal

Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar
Elecciones·Elección Principal

Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar

Carol de Toni 46%

Esperidião Amin 46%

Carol 46%

Décio Lima 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Carol de Toni 46%

Esperidião Amin 46%

Carol 46%

Décio Lima 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Carol

Carol

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$0 Vol.

24%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, two seats are at stake in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, producing tight implied probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions finalized slates that include established names such as Esperidião Amin (PP), Antídio Lunelli (MDB), and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL) alongside newer entrants like Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter, Décio Lima, and PL-aligned figures including Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro. The absence of dominant polling aggregates or late alliances has kept trader consensus diffuse, with no single contender exceeding roughly 45% implied probability of finishing second. Upcoming campaign events, coalition negotiations, and turnout patterns in key municipalities could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, two seats are at stake in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, producing tight implied probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions finalized slates that include established names such as Esperidião Amin (PP), Antídio Lunelli (MDB), and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL) alongside newer entrants like Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter, Décio Lima, and PL-aligned figures including Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro. The absence of dominant polling aggregates or late alliances has kept trader consensus diffuse, with no single contender exceeding roughly 45% implied probability of finishing second. Upcoming campaign events, coalition negotiations, and turnout patterns in key municipalities could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

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44%
icon for ¿André do Prado obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de São Paulo en 2026?

¿André do Prado obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de São Paulo en 2026?

46%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Eli Borges la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Tocantins de 2026?

¿Obtendrá Eli Borges la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Tocantins de 2026?

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Carol de Toni" con 46%, seguido de "Esperidião Amin" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar" es "Carol de Toni" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Esperidião Amin" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Santa Catarina: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.