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Elecciones·Primaria Republicana

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Elecciones·Primaria Republicana

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 68%

Dan Bilzerian 23%

Charles Gambaro 6.0%

Aaron Baker 1.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$14,576 Vol.

Randy Fine 68%

Dan Bilzerian 23%

Charles Gambaro 6.0%

Aaron Baker 1.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$14,576 Vol.

Randy Fine

$1,008 Vol.

68%

Dan Bilzerian

$2,021 Vol.

23%

Charles Gambaro

$496 Vol.

6%

Aaron Baker

$676 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$637 Vol.

1%

Ernest Audino

$9,270 Vol.

1%

Joshua Vasquez

$468 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability for the FL-06 Republican primary**, bolstered by his dominant 83% win in the 2025 special GOP primary, strong prior fundraising, and endorsements like the Republican Jewish Coalition, underscoring incumbency advantages in this safely Republican district covering Volusia and Flagler counties. Dan Bilzerian's entry last week, filing paperwork around April 8 amid attacks on Fine's pro-Israel stance and Iran policy, lifted him to 22.5% via his massive social media reach, despite backlash over past antisemitic comments. Charles Gambaro sits at 6.4% after former Volusia Sheriff Ben Johnson's endorsement this week. No public polls exist yet for the August 18 primary, leaving room for shifts from fundraising reports and voter turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$14,576
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability for the FL-06 Republican primary**, bolstered by his dominant 83% win in the 2025 special GOP primary, strong prior fundraising, and endorsements like the Republican Jewish Coalition, underscoring incumbency advantages in this safely Republican district covering Volusia and Flagler counties. Dan Bilzerian's entry last week, filing paperwork around April 8 amid attacks on Fine's pro-Israel stance and Iran policy, lifted him to 22.5% via his massive social media reach, despite backlash over past antisemitic comments. Charles Gambaro sits at 6.4% after former Volusia Sheriff Ben Johnson's endorsement this week. No public polls exist yet for the August 18 primary, leaving room for shifts from fundraising reports and voter turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$14,576
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Randy Fine" con 68%, seguido de "Dan Bilzerian" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 68¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" ha generado $14.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" es "Randy Fine" con 68%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Bilzerian" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.