Recent allegations of misconduct against Mark Lamb, including reported text messages involving explicit content and other claims published in late May, have eroded his earlier polling lead and prevented consolidation in the fragmented Republican field ahead of the July 21 primary. Local businessman Daniel Keenan has emerged as a more active contender through debates and fundraising, while Jay Feely and Travis Grantham maintain limited visibility. With no candidate exceeding one-third implied probability, the outcome hinges on remaining voter consolidation among established local networks and responses to ongoing scrutiny in the final weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMark Lamb 32.2%
Jay Feely 3.0%
Travis Grantham 1.8%
$50,806 Vol.
$50,806 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
33%
Jay Feely
3%
Travis Grantham
2%
Mark Lamb 32.2%
Jay Feely 3.0%
Travis Grantham 1.8%
$50,806 Vol.
$50,806 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
$5,856 Vol.
33%
Jay Feely
$43,116 Vol.
3%
Travis Grantham
$1,834 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent allegations of misconduct against Mark Lamb, including reported text messages involving explicit content and other claims published in late May, have eroded his earlier polling lead and prevented consolidation in the fragmented Republican field ahead of the July 21 primary. Local businessman Daniel Keenan has emerged as a more active contender through debates and fundraising, while Jay Feely and Travis Grantham maintain limited visibility. With no candidate exceeding one-third implied probability, the outcome hinges on remaining voter consolidation among established local networks and responses to ongoing scrutiny in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volumen
$50,806Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent allegations of misconduct against Mark Lamb, including reported text messages involving explicit content and other claims published in late May, have eroded his earlier polling lead and prevented consolidation in the fragmented Republican field ahead of the July 21 primary. Local businessman Daniel Keenan has emerged as a more active contender through debates and fundraising, while Jay Feely and Travis Grantham maintain limited visibility. With no candidate exceeding one-third implied probability, the outcome hinges on remaining voter consolidation among established local networks and responses to ongoing scrutiny in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$50,806Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent allegations of misconduct against Mark Lamb, including reported text messages involving explicit content and other claims published in late May, have eroded his earlier polling lead and prevented consolidation in the fragmented Republican field ahead of the July 21 primary. Local businessman Daniel Keenan has emerged as a more active contender through debates and fundraising, while Jay Feely and Travis Grantham maintain limited visibility. With no candidate exceeding one-third implied probability, the outcome hinges on remaining voter consolidation among established local networks and responses to ongoing scrutiny in the final weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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