The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent polls showing Dr. Daniel Santos and incumbent Hana Ghassan locked in a statistical tie or narrow lead within the margin of error. High shares of undecided and spontaneous non-voters reflect the early stage and fluid dynamics following Helder Barbalho’s shift to the Senate race, which elevated Ghassan as the MDB standard-bearer. Other declared names register low single-digit support in stimulated scenarios, limiting their immediate impact on first-round outcomes. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with the two frontrunners holding comparable implied probabilities and limited separation expected until clearer polling trends, party alliances, or campaign events emerge closer to voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Pará
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará
Dr. Daniel Santos 50%
Hana Ghassan 42%
Éder Mauro 3.6%
Zequinha Marinho 3.0%
$22,196 Vol.
$22,196 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Dr. Daniel Santos
50%
Hana Ghassan
42%
Éder Mauro
4%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Dirceu Ten Caten
3%
Rogério Barra
1%
Paulo Rocha
25%
Dr. Daniel Santos 50%
Hana Ghassan 42%
Éder Mauro 3.6%
Zequinha Marinho 3.0%
$22,196 Vol.
$22,196 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Dr. Daniel Santos
$6,666 Vol.
50%
Hana Ghassan
$9,592 Vol.
42%
Éder Mauro
$2,909 Vol.
4%
Zequinha Marinho
$612 Vol.
3%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$725 Vol.
3%
Rogério Barra
$797 Vol.
1%
Paulo Rocha
$895 Vol.
25%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent polls showing Dr. Daniel Santos and incumbent Hana Ghassan locked in a statistical tie or narrow lead within the margin of error. High shares of undecided and spontaneous non-voters reflect the early stage and fluid dynamics following Helder Barbalho’s shift to the Senate race, which elevated Ghassan as the MDB standard-bearer. Other declared names register low single-digit support in stimulated scenarios, limiting their immediate impact on first-round outcomes. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with the two frontrunners holding comparable implied probabilities and limited separation expected until clearer polling trends, party alliances, or campaign events emerge closer to voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volumen
$22,196Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent polls showing Dr. Daniel Santos and incumbent Hana Ghassan locked in a statistical tie or narrow lead within the margin of error. High shares of undecided and spontaneous non-voters reflect the early stage and fluid dynamics following Helder Barbalho’s shift to the Senate race, which elevated Ghassan as the MDB standard-bearer. Other declared names register low single-digit support in stimulated scenarios, limiting their immediate impact on first-round outcomes. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with the two frontrunners holding comparable implied probabilities and limited separation expected until clearer polling trends, party alliances, or campaign events emerge closer to voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$22,196Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent polls showing Dr. Daniel Santos and incumbent Hana Ghassan locked in a statistical tie or narrow lead within the margin of error. High shares of undecided and spontaneous non-voters reflect the early stage and fluid dynamics following Helder Barbalho’s shift to the Senate race, which elevated Ghassan as the MDB standard-bearer. Other declared names register low single-digit support in stimulated scenarios, limiting their immediate impact on first-round outcomes. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with the two frontrunners holding comparable implied probabilities and limited separation expected until clearer polling trends, party alliances, or campaign events emerge closer to voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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