Skip to main content
icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte

Cadu de Lula 37%

Álvaro Dias 36%

Rodrigo Bolsonaro 36%

Profesor Roberio Paulino 34%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Cadu de Lula 37%

Álvaro Dias 36%

Rodrigo Bolsonaro 36%

Profesor Roberio Paulino 34%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Profesor Roberio Paulino

Profesor Roberio Paulino

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$0 Vol.

33%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for ¿Ganará Eduardo Paes la elección para Gobernador de Río de Janeiro?

¿Ganará Eduardo Paes la elección para Gobernador de Río de Janeiro?

97%
Sí
icon for ¿Raquel Lyra ganará la elección para gobernadora de Pernambuco?

¿Raquel Lyra ganará la elección para gobernadora de Pernambuco?

70%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cadu de Lula" con 37%, seguido de "Álvaro Dias" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" es "Cadu de Lula" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Álvaro Dias" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.