Ciro Gomes holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governorship due to his prior term as governor, broad coalition support including PSDB, PL, and UNIÃO endorsements formalized in July 2026, and a recent AtlasIntel poll showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas 49.3% to 44.6% in first-round voting. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength but trails amid the competitive race ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited viability in current polling and alliance dynamics. The wisdom of crowds in the market prices reflects these developments and the potential for runoff scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 75%
Elmano de Freitas 26%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$143,434 Vol.
$143,434 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
75%
Elmano de Freitas
26%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 75%
Elmano de Freitas 26%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$143,434 Vol.
$143,434 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
$79,089 Vol.
75%
Elmano de Freitas
$25,152 Vol.
26%
Eduardo Girão
$10,738 Vol.
1%
Camilo Santana
$8,415 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$10,319 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$9,721 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governorship due to his prior term as governor, broad coalition support including PSDB, PL, and UNIÃO endorsements formalized in July 2026, and a recent AtlasIntel poll showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas 49.3% to 44.6% in first-round voting. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength but trails amid the competitive race ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited viability in current polling and alliance dynamics. The wisdom of crowds in the market prices reflects these developments and the potential for runoff scenarios.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$143,434Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governorship due to his prior term as governor, broad coalition support including PSDB, PL, and UNIÃO endorsements formalized in July 2026, and a recent AtlasIntel poll showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas 49.3% to 44.6% in first-round voting. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength but trails amid the competitive race ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited viability in current polling and alliance dynamics. The wisdom of crowds in the market prices reflects these developments and the potential for runoff scenarios.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$143,434Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Ceará governorship due to his prior term as governor, broad coalition support including PSDB, PL, and UNIÃO endorsements formalized in July 2026, and a recent AtlasIntel poll showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas 49.3% to 44.6% in first-round voting. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength but trails amid the competitive race ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited viability in current polling and alliance dynamics. The wisdom of crowds in the market prices reflects these developments and the potential for runoff scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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