Recent polls, including the Quaest survey from late April, position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in the Ceará governor race with consistent double-digit leads over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first- and second-round scenarios, reflecting his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of focusing solely on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders price Camilo Santana, the senator and ex-governor, at 12% amid speculation the PT may switch candidates, as polls show him narrowing the gap against Ciro more effectively than Elmano. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner align with their trailing poll numbers. The first-round vote is October 4, with party coalitions and fresh surveys as key upcoming catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 11.9%
Eduardo Girão 3.4%
$53,177 Vol.
$53,177 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
22%
Camilo Santana
12%
Eduardo Girão
3%
Roberto Cláudio
2%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 11.9%
Eduardo Girão 3.4%
$53,177 Vol.
$53,177 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
$35,966 Vol.
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$5,657 Vol.
22%
Camilo Santana
$2,888 Vol.
12%
Eduardo Girão
$3,075 Vol.
3%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,785 Vol.
2%
Capitão Wagner
$3,806 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including the Quaest survey from late April, position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in the Ceará governor race with consistent double-digit leads over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first- and second-round scenarios, reflecting his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of focusing solely on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders price Camilo Santana, the senator and ex-governor, at 12% amid speculation the PT may switch candidates, as polls show him narrowing the gap against Ciro more effectively than Elmano. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner align with their trailing poll numbers. The first-round vote is October 4, with party coalitions and fresh surveys as key upcoming catalysts.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$53,177Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including the Quaest survey from late April, position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in the Ceará governor race with consistent double-digit leads over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first- and second-round scenarios, reflecting his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of focusing solely on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders price Camilo Santana, the senator and ex-governor, at 12% amid speculation the PT may switch candidates, as polls show him narrowing the gap against Ciro more effectively than Elmano. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner align with their trailing poll numbers. The first-round vote is October 4, with party coalitions and fresh surveys as key upcoming catalysts.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$53,177Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including the Quaest survey from late April, position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in the Ceará governor race with consistent double-digit leads over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first- and second-round scenarios, reflecting his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of focusing solely on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders price Camilo Santana, the senator and ex-governor, at 12% amid speculation the PT may switch candidates, as polls show him narrowing the gap against Ciro more effectively than Elmano. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner align with their trailing poll numbers. The first-round vote is October 4, with party coalitions and fresh surveys as key upcoming catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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