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icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan

icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan

Lin Kuo-chang 68%

Wu Tsung-hsien 24%

Chen Wan-hui 4.2%

Chang Sheng-te 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lin Kuo-chang 68%

Wu Tsung-hsien 24%

Chen Wan-hui 4.2%

Chang Sheng-te 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Lin Kuo-chang

Lin Kuo-chang

$2,796 Vol.

68%

icon for Wu Tsung-hsien

Wu Tsung-hsien

$3,340 Vol.

24%

icon for Chen Wan-hui

Chen Wan-hui

$396 Vol.

4%

icon for Chang Sheng-te

Chang Sheng-te

$265 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest trader consensus for Yilan County magistrate in the November 28, 2026, local elections, reflecting sustained polling leads over opposition rivals and the party's organizational base in the county. Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien, selected after a February primary victory over county council speaker Chang Sheng-te and a May joint poll win against former Taiwan People's Party lawmaker Chen Wan-hui, trails amid efforts to consolidate KMT-TPP support. Recent September attacks by opposition figures on Lin's state-owned enterprise board roles and compensation have intensified scrutiny of the DPP candidate, while internal DPP factional tensions and multiple independent registrations add fragmentation risks. These dynamics, combined with local policy contrasts on governance continuity and central government ties, underpin the current implied probabilities ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$6,797
Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest trader consensus for Yilan County magistrate in the November 28, 2026, local elections, reflecting sustained polling leads over opposition rivals and the party's organizational base in the county. Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien, selected after a February primary victory over county council speaker Chang Sheng-te and a May joint poll win against former Taiwan People's Party lawmaker Chen Wan-hui, trails amid efforts to consolidate KMT-TPP support. Recent September attacks by opposition figures on Lin's state-owned enterprise board roles and compensation have intensified scrutiny of the DPP candidate, while internal DPP factional tensions and multiple independent registrations add fragmentation risks. These dynamics, combined with local policy contrasts on governance continuity and central government ties, underpin the current implied probabilities ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$6,797
Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lin Kuo-chang" con 73%, seguido de "Wu Tsung-hsien" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 73¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan" es "Lin Kuo-chang" con 73%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Wu Tsung-hsien" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Yilan" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.