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icon for Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?

Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?

icon for Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?

Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?

7% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

7% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list will not qualify, provided the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**RZP-Zehut is running as a merged technical bloc on the Religious Zionist Party list ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election, with no effective disqualification in place.** Bezalel Smotrich’s RZP incorporated Zehut candidates (including Moshe Feiglin in a high slot) following a September agreement ratified before the candidate-list deadline, allowing the combined slate to contest seats without separate registration hurdles. Central Elections Committee proceedings have focused disqualification petitions on Arab parties such as the Joint List and United Arab List, plus limited hearings for other lists, but RZP-Zehut faces no comparable active ban or successful challenge. The Supreme Court has historically overturned committee disqualifications in similar cycles, reinforcing trader expectations that the right-wing bloc will appear on ballots and compete normally.

Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.

A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".

A decision by the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list will not qualify, provided the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list remains eligible to contest the election.

Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list will not qualify, provided the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$73
Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list will not qualify, provided the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**RZP-Zehut is running as a merged technical bloc on the Religious Zionist Party list ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election, with no effective disqualification in place.** Bezalel Smotrich’s RZP incorporated Zehut candidates (including Moshe Feiglin in a high slot) following a September agreement ratified before the candidate-list deadline, allowing the combined slate to contest seats without separate registration hurdles. Central Elections Committee proceedings have focused disqualification petitions on Arab parties such as the Joint List and United Arab List, plus limited hearings for other lists, but RZP-Zehut faces no comparable active ban or successful challenge. The Supreme Court has historically overturned committee disqualifications in similar cycles, reinforcing trader expectations that the right-wing bloc will appear on ballots and compete normally.

Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.

A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".

A decision by the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list will not qualify, provided the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list remains eligible to contest the election.

Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list will not qualify, provided the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list’s list remains eligible to contest the election. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 4:09 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Elecciones en Israel: RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibidos?" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 7¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 23, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?" es "¿Elecciones en Israel: RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibidos?" con solo 7%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones en Israel: ¿RZP-Zehut efectivamente prohibido?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.